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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

CEO Insights - ASX Reporting Season Special

As part of the NAOS investment process, we pay particular attention to the comments made by company CEOs and business leaders in order to gain a greater understanding...
Robert Miller
NAOS
Macro

Credit Suisse: RBA won't hike until 2025

Economists and investors (and media) don't just enjoy interest rate speculation (I mean, we do enjoy it as well). But we also need to keep an eye on the Central...
Livewire Exclusive
Livewire Markets
Macro

Bumpy road ahead for China

The heightened US-China relationship tensions since the Trump administration have forced China to re-finesse its domestic economy priorities. This backdrop makes the...
Ben Wang, Ph.D. CFA FRM
Jamieson Coote Bonds
Macro

Is Australia off course?

After a sharp rebound during H1 2021, Australia’s near-term economic outlook has worsened significantly. The COVID-19 Delta outbreak has extended across the eastern...
Scott Haslem
LGT Crestone
Macro

Better aligning fiscal, monetary, and bank regulatory policy

The COVID-shock of 2020 put a spotlight on a design flaw in Australian banking regulations. At a time when governments are borrowing lots of money, and the RBA is...
Matthew Johnson
Matthew Johnson
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Four risks in a market priced for perfection

Since the lows of early 2020, markets have experienced a pretty strong recovery. Yet, with equity markets at an all-time high, while most of us are locked up at...
Simon Doyle
Schroders
Macro

7 reasons to look beyond the lockdown blues

Three months ago there was much optimism about the Australian economic outlook. GDP regained its pre-pandemic level, confidence was strong, the jobs market was...
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

How to understand the change in home approvals

The building approvals data is a monthly release issued by the Australian Bureau of Statistics detailing the change in building permits (approvals) issued, and is...
David Berthon-Jones
Aequitas Investment Partners
Macro

Patient Powell plays it safe

Markets have been rather listless these last few months, contrasting with the beginning of calendar 2021, when financial markets moved directionally based on key...
Jesse Imer
Jesse Imer
Macro

Fed disconnects timelines for tapering and rate rises

In his speech at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium, Federal Reserve chairman Powell sent three key messages. Firstly, he confirmed that the test of "substantial...
Anthony Doyle
Anthony Doyle
Firetrail Investments
Macro

Will a global housing ‘bubble’ finally force central bankers’ hands?

House prices have been one of the unexpected beneficiaries of the pandemic. Lockdowns and the working-from-home revolution have spurred demand for more space, a larger...
Mark Ambrose
Mark Ambrose
Global Value Fund
Macro

Analysis: Why the RBA is likely to stick to its taper decision in September

The hurdle for the Reserve Bank of Australia to backtrack on the bond-buying taper decision remains high and keeping it elevated would be the rapidly accelerating pace...
Sophia Rodrigues
Sophia Rodrigues
Central Bank Intel
Macro

Macro market indicators

One of our preferred market valuation indicators is the CAPE model derived from macroeconomic fundamentals. The basic idea is that lower levels of interest rates...
QAN
SCG
+2
David Berthon-Jones
Aequitas Investment Partners
Macro

Is the RBA taper vs non-taper decision a non-event for September?

The RBA "taper vs non-taper" decision for its bond purchase, or quantitative easing (QE), program will be resolved in September with many banks (eg, UBS, DB, CBA,...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Substantial NSW govt. COVID financial support is tracking well below the weekly budgeted cost

With last year showing the importance of government support in limiting the economic fall-out from the pandemic and contributing to economic recovery, the NSW...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Expert Insights

Could a policy error spell trouble for markets?

The biggest question on most investors’ minds in the first half of 2021 has been ‘will inflation be transitory or lasting?’ While the issue is far from settled, the...
Livewire Exclusive
Livewire Markets
Macro

Inflation update: Still transient

We covered inflation in a lot of detail in our four-part series earlier this year. So far, the inflation cycle is playing out largely as foreshadowed. In particular,...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

The looming large excess of housing: What to do about it, and when

In an apparent suspension of collective logic, it appears few people have asked what happens when you provide massive incentives to bring forward an unprecedented...
Tim Toohey
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

High growth stocks at a fraction of the cost

It’s been 35 years since Capital Group first ventured into emerging market investing. Over this time, many changes have unfolded. The world has shrunk in the face of...
Glenn Freeman
Livewire Markets
Macro

Yield and wages

There is a lot of noise in the financial press (meme stocks, crypto, central bank policy, etc.) and so it’s hard to really know what to focus on. In times like...
Chad Padowitz
Talaria Asset Management
Macro

Banks gouging taxpayers by arbitraging global liquidity rules...

Australia's banks are allowed to arbitrage global regulatory rules on best-practice liquidity requirements to maximise their returns on equity. This comes at a direct...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

In China and the US, economic recovery takes a disappointing turn

The potential for a slowdown in the world’s two largest economies is feeding concerns that global growth may have peaked Both countries are also facing another wave...
Kerry Craig
J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Macro

Believe in the expansion

The Delta variant has become the predominant strain of COVID-19 in much of the world. In response, we're seeing a return to lockdowns and other socially...
Nathan Lim
Lonsec Holdings
Macro

RBA taper, non-taper options

I don't want to get back into the speculation game of what the RBA does or does not do in September. I've covered this territory before --- with the surprising move...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Central bank policy hinges on COVID-19 and lockdown

A singular COVID-19 case emerged in New Zealand the day before the RBNZ monetary policy meeting in August. Without any hesitation Auckland went straight into a 7-day...
Kate Samranvedhya
Kate Samranvedhya
Jamieson Coote Bonds
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