Home Wires

Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Outlook Series

Livewire reader predictions: How're you doing after 3 months?

Believe it or not, the first quarter of 2021 has already come to a close. While (thankfully) it’s been a much less eventful one than Q1 of 2020, it’s still brought its...
APT
CSL
TLS
+1
Patrick Poke
A Rich Life
Macro

RBA delivers stealthy QE increase

In the AFR I write that one of the most interesting developments in local financial markets this week has been ANZ breaking the drought of senior bank bond supply with...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Data drop: uptick in job vacancies while retail takes a nap

It's the start of a new quarter and optimism abounds. Brisbane has been released from lockdown, vaccines are on their way (albeit slowly) and the latest data drop from...
JBH
Mia Kwok
Mia Kwok
Livewire Markets
Macro

Off The Charts: 3 splits, 5 hits and a $20bn wipeout - a week in the world of investing

We're back! Off The Charts is here again to wrap up everything you need to know (and some things you don't) from the week. This week, as an Easter long weekend treat,...
AGL
TLS
Livewire Exclusive
Livewire Markets
Macro

Dealing with an inflation head fake

Our baseline view is for a strong recovery across the world and inflation that – in spite of all the reflationary talk – is likely to remain below central bank targets...
Joachim Fels
PIMCO
Macro

More inequality. More grievances. More debts

A few weeks ago, a house was listed for sale in Sydney’s famous Bondi at $3.8 million. (There were no water views, unlike for the $20.1 million penthouse apartment...
Andrew Macken
Montaka Global Investments
Macro

Are we experiencing a commodity supercycle? | Video podcast

In today's investment webinar, Nucleus Wealth's Chief Strategist David Llewellyn Smith, Head of Investments Damien Klassen, and Head of Advice Tim Fuller investigate...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

The coiled spring: Markets are primed

A year into a global lockdown, most people are desperate to get their lives back. With vaccine programmes now being rushed out around the world, the good news is...
Miles Staude
Global Value Fund
Macro

Dispelling some common market myths

Myths abound. Is a bubble forming in shares? How long will the reflation trade last? Are we in a new mining super cycle? Is it over for technology and growth shares?...
Justin Braitling
Watermark Funds Management
Macro

Reset: restoring Australia post pandemic with Ross Garnaut

In today's investment webinar, Nucleus Wealth's Chief Strategist David Llewellyn Smith, Head of Investments Damien Klassen, and Head of Advice Tim Fuller are joined...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

House prices to rise 20-30pc from pre-COVID levels

In the AFR I write today that it is amusing reading all the current hysteria about Aussie housing, often from the same folks who were absolutely convinced home values...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Crisis silver lining: resilient business models and validation of competent management

The February reporting season provided a few unusual insights due to the economic impact of COVID-19. In particular, it confirmed our underlying investment thesis...
Rhett Kessler
Pengana Capital Group
Macro

The most important question for 2021: Inflation or Deflation?

There are plenty of inflationistas who have been forecasting an apocalypse for a dozen years. They are about to have their day in the sun. And you can bet they will...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

The beginning of the end

The COVID-19 virus has had a devastating impact around the world. More than 2.5 million people have died, including more than 500,000 in the US, more than...
Kristiaan Rehder
Kardinia Capital
Macro

High risk of US equity market correction

US equities are extremely expensive according to long-term valuation measures such as the cyclically-adjusted PE (CAPE) ratio. The CAPE ratio for the S&P500 is...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

RBA to APRA – we've set house prices on fire, you fix it

Two recent presentations by senior RBA staff have acknowledged that cutting interest rates has put a rocket under house prices. This is a refreshing change, as for...
Jonathan Rochford
Narrow Road Capital
Macro

Seeking value in alternative markets, with Adrian Redlich | Webinar & Podcast

Nucleus Wealth's Head of Investments Damien Klassen, Head of Advice Tim Fuller and Adrian Redlich, Founder and CEO of Merricks Capital give the rundown on seeking...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

RBA brutally bashes bond bandits

In the AFR I write that the Reserve Bank of Australia’s Governor Phil Lowe did a sublime job this week of radically recalibrating flawed market perceptions of the...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

RBA opens door to jobless rate in the 3s

RBA Governor Lowe delivered a very important speech yesterday on “The recovery, investment and monetary policy” at the AFR's business review conference. Arguably the...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Are rates barking or biting?

In calendar 2020, the US Treasury issued US$4.4 trillion of new debt to both undertake and fund its “rescue and recovery” plan for the US economy. Of the bonds that...
John Abernethy
Clime Asset Management
Macro

Three trends creating tidal waves in markets

In Australia, and across the world, markets are being shaped by a number of new forces. There have clearly been significant shifts from the pandemic recovery,...
Mia Kwok
Mia Kwok
Livewire Markets
Macro

The tail wagging the dog?

US political strategist James Carville once remarked, “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the pope or as a .400...
Charlie Aitken
Charlie Aitken
Aitken Investment Management
Macro

Gold, Bitcoin and the Elon effect!

"Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on scepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria" - John Templeton It’s been just over three years since we last wrote...
Jordan Eliseo
ABC Bullion
Macro

It may take years before China relations are back on track, says Bishop

The Hon Julie Bishop is no stranger to taking on a challenge. Bishop is currently chair of the Palladium advisory board, principal of her own advisory firm (which...
Mia Kwok
Mia Kwok
Livewire Markets
Macro

Bonds blow up equity market – again

In the AFR today I write that for years we've argued that investors should not rely on the age-old assumption that fixed-rate bonds are a powerful equity hedge. We...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
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