Home Wires

Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

RBA's dilemma: Aussie interest rates among the highest in developed world

The RBA's dilemma is very neatly explained by these charts, which are screen-shots from our internal systems (see below). They show that the interest rates on both...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Foxes and hedgehogs

When it comes to investor psychology, the Ancient Greeks knew what they were talking about. They categorised people as either hedgehogs or foxes. Foxes, they said,...
Chad Padowitz
Talaria Asset Management
Macro

Why inflation might return and why you need to worry about it

One thing I like about marathon running is the well-defined end-point. You train hard for a few months, eat well, dial it back for a week and then it’s race day. Once...
Steve Johnson
Forager
Macro

Microchip, mega battle for US and China

Japan’s Kioxia Holdings, which in the early 1980s invented flash memory computer chips, was set for one of the country’s biggest initial public offers for 2020. In...
Michael Collins
Michael Collins
Magellan
Macro

NSW budget tracking better than expected, in line with our forecasts

Coolabah Capital Investments (CCI) has a contrarian forecast that the state government budgets are going to track better than the states (and the market) expect. We...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

A trader's guide to markets in 2021, with Patrick Ceresna | Webinar & Podcast

In today's investment webinar, Nucleus Wealth's Head of Investments Damien Klassen, and Head of Operations Shelley George are joined by prolific trader, avid...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

The unknown unknowns

This time last year we were getting ready for the ‘known unknowns’ - the unpredictable events that we nevertheless knew were on their way. We knew that the Brexit...
Tom Stevenson
Fidelity International
Macro

Recovery won't kick-start another decade-long bull market

We expect the global economy to continue its transition from hurting to healing in 2021 and make good progress on the long climb back to its pre-crisis trend (as we...
Joachim Fels
PIMCO
Outlook Series

The 5 types of bulls you'll meet in 2021

Those hunting for bears - grizzly and investment expert alike - will be very much disappointed to find no such creature in their midst at the outset of 2021. Instead,...
Ally Selby
Livewire Markets
Macro

New year, new strategy?

Long-term bond yields continued to creep gradually higher in December as the prospect of further significant near-term monetary stimulus eased in line with an...
+7
David Bassanese
Betashares
Expert Insights

Sifting through the rubble: James Gerrish picks eleven stocks to rebuild in 2021

Low-interest rates, government stimulus and a post-COVID structural shift in equities will define markets in 2021 according to James Gerrish of Market Matters. As we...
BHP
DOW
+4
Livewire Exclusive
Livewire Markets
Macro

How high can Bitcoin go? | Webinar & Podcast

A podcast double-header this week. In our latest episode, we covered the booming Bitcoin Topics included How & why Bitcoin's valued Where it sits on the bubble...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Levered housing equity to generate large returns in 2021...

Setting side Bitcoin, what was the best performing asset-class for Aussie investors in 2020? In the AFR today I write that as it turned out, residential real estate...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Complexity Premia podcast on big left and right tail risks in 2021

After a long six month delay because we were so busy running client money, Ying Yi Ann Cheng and I have finally set aside the time to record our next Complexity Premia...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Modern Monetary Theory: Not Necessarily a ‘Win-Win’ Solution to the World’s Problems

Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) is held out by some of its proponents as the antidote to the high debt, low growth and inflation environment that many countries have...
Clive Smith
Macro

Aussie house prices rise 3% in 2020 with only one city (Melbourne) suffering price falls

Australian house prices continued their gradual rebound from the COVID-19 induced correction with dwelling values across both capital cities and regional markets...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Winds of change: Vaccine relief and the acceleration of e-commerce

With the roll-out of vaccines to combat COVID-19, a new president in the White House come January and a surge in online activity through 2020, Magellan rounds out the...
Hamish Douglass
Magellan
Macro

Forecasting 2021: search for yield to be dominant narrative

In the AFR I write that after experiencing the mother of all “known unknowns” via this awful, one-in-100 year pandemic, you’d be brave to venture into the forecasting...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

MMT’s key claim is true but simplistic

Articles and presentations about Modern Monetary Thinking (MMT) are often annoyingly one sided. This isn’t too surprising given the policy recommendations by MMT’s...
Jonathan Rochford
Narrow Road Capital
Macro

Liquidity and Necessity

How do we see the outlook for 2021? Before I answer that question, I need to highlight a very important point: what follows is our current view. If something...
Romano Sala Tenna
Katana Asset Management
Macro

The chart of the year

In a development that could rain on the parade of bullishness that has enveloped global markets, the median correlation across nine types of global risk...
Anthony Doyle
Anthony Doyle
Firetrail Investments
Macro

Annus horribilis

In the AFR today I write that as difficult as 2020’s annus horrbilis has been—a year in which we’ve all lost-out, one way or another—the winners have been human...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Speculators are playing with fire; investors, don’t get burnt!

Earlier this month, a columnist at another Australian website encapsulated the exuberance that’s currently gripping stocks – and the incredulity that somebody mightn’t...
Chris Leithner
Leithner & Company Ltd
Macro

Aussie banks prove indestructible

In the AFR today I write that Australia’s ferocious banking regulator has tried its darndest to blow-up our deposit-takers in the latest iteration of its...
+1
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Rapid Fire

Bucking bulls, Bond and a boost for the ASX: Shane Oliver's 2021 watchlist

With 2021 just around the corner, vaccine distribution looking promising and a US election put to bed, the bulls of the market are bucking, with little concern of any...
Bella Kidman
Bella Kidman
Livewire Markets
1751-1775 of 2754