Australian Interest Rates

Latest news and analysis on Australian Interest Rates

Fixed Income

Australian rates to fall to neutral but not much more

Find out why we maintain a less dovish view than the RBA on interest rate expectations and favour Australian bonds over U.S. bonds.
Damien Boey
Wilson Asset Management
Macro

The RBA marks down the neutral cash rate again

RBA staff have revised down the estimated neutral rate cash rate to c2¾%, although it is not clear if policy-makers take it at face value.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Betashares economist says RBA could slash rates to 2% if US enters recession

David Bassanese says his base case is the RBA takes rates to 3.35% this year, while other economists warned the cut is a mistake.
Tom Richardson
Livewire Markets
Buy Hold Sell

Buy Hold Sell: 7 ASX names set to thrive amid lower rates

Matthew Haupt from Wilson Asset Management and Tim Johnston from Tyndall Asset Management analyse stocks set to benefit from rate cuts.
APA
GMG
+4
Buy Hold Sell
Livewire Markets
Buy Hold Sell

With more rate cuts on the way, how are the pros adjusting portfolios?

Matthew Haupt from Wilson Asset Management and Tim Johnston from Tyndall Asset Management discus how lower rates will impact ASX investing.
ALX
VCX
Buy Hold Sell
Livewire Markets
Buy Hold Sell

Buy Hold Sell: 3 ASX winners (and 2 losers) ahead of the RBA's next cut

Matthew Haupt from Wilson Asset Management and Tim Johnston from Tyndall Asset Management discuss rate cut winners and losers.
CPU
JBH
RMD
+1
Buy Hold Sell
Livewire Markets
Equities

'Not our base case': Fed unlikely to unleash printing presses, QE, to offset US/China trade war

Talk the Fed could restart QE programs to cap bond yields if they rebound on new inflation worries has been dismissed by economists.
Tom Richardson
Livewire Markets
Equities

'Trade war': RBA tipped to slash rates in 2025, house prices to rise, petrol prices, inflation to fall

NRMA is calling for petrol prices to tumble within weeks, as traders bet on three cash rate cuts to boost house prices.
STO
Tom Richardson
Livewire Markets
Macro

Why we now expect four more RBA rate cuts this year

If the RBA were uncertain on Tuesday, then their heads must surely be spinning after Liberation Day.
Tim Toohey
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

'We do feel optimistic': RBA cuts rates and delivers positive inflation forecasts

The RBA now forecasts core inflation to fall to 2.7% by June 2025 and stay at that rate through to 2027.
Tom Richardson
Livewire Markets
Macro

'Very weak': Warren Hogan dismisses RBA rate cut case

Mr Hogan labelled inflation "the biggest strategic threat to the economy" and said the RBA has insufficient evidence it's contained.
Tom Richardson
Livewire Markets
Outlook Series

Chief CommSec Economist shares 2025 Outlook

CommSec’s Ryan Felsman discusses market rotations, key risks, and what lies ahead for 2025.
James Marlay
Livewire Markets
Property

Where Australian house prices could go in 2025

December saw the first monthly fall in house prices in two years - but the setup for 2025 is far more nuanced than it first seems.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
The Pitch

Australia’s rate-cutting cycle will be shallow. Here's what it means for investors

As the market shifts for fixed income, this is where Western Asset Management is investing.
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Property

A-REITs ripe for alpha generation as performance divergence widens

A-REIT securities are ripe for generating alpha as the asset class exhibits a wide divergence in performance among different stocks, according to a listed property...
Amy Pham
Pengana Capital Group
Macro

The Fed cut by 50 basis points. Would the RBA consider doing the same?

The RBA holds rates for another meeting - even as its peers start the long cutting road back to neutral.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

RBA keeps interest rates on hold, no cut on the horizon

The RBA stayed on hold today, but there were several “subtle but important” changes to the statement. We investigate if a cut is any closer.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Equities

Why the market is wrong in expecting four RBA interest rate cuts in the next 12 months

Key interest rate futures now imply the RBA will cut rates four times in the next year, but these brokers think that’s just plain wrong.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

August 2024 Podcasts

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Markets: We don’t believe you RBA…We expect 3 rate cuts in the next 12 months!

The Reserve Bank chose to keep its cash rate on hold at their August meeting, but market pricing suggests they’re about to cut, and cut big…
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
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