Australian Interest Rates

What's that noise, you ask? That’s the sound of pressure being released out of the market. We've heard an ever louder cacophony of bearish market calls in recent...

The RBA hiked rates for the sixth consecutive month. With lead indicators showing signs of inflation coming off the boil and European banks starting to see stress,...

Inflation is the buzzword of our present time in the markets - and with good reason. After years of central banks suggesting that price rises would be transitory and...

Our fundamental model of Australian swap spreads that we released in December 2021 started the new year well, predicting the early tightening of 10-year swap spreads...

How central banks, markets and investors got interest rates (and inflation) so wrong – and what that means for investors. The ‘Uber Test’ (once the ‘Taxi Test’) is a...

A few weeks ago, I spoke to Bennelong Fund Management's Carl McMinn to discuss the changing market environment, what’s ahead for the sector, and how Quay is...

Welcome to this month's trade floor update. The RBA has raised rates for the second month in a row, and we haven’t seen the end of it. It’s a good time to be a bond...

The rate hiking cycle that investors are staring down is historic. After years of declining rates (more than a decade in the Reserve Bank's case), we are finally...

Rain, hail or shine, investors must make investment decisions for the betterment of their holdings. But when a record bull market looks set to falter, hitting...

The RBA needs to tread warily, says Andrew McAuley of Credit Suisse. Read through for his analysis of where mortgage rates could sit if the RBA goes too hard too early.

A few weeks ago, it would have been fair to say that we were probably set for a number of interest rate increases this year. Fast forward to where we are now and a...

The RBA continued to keep rates on hold this month even though Inflation picked up more quickly than they expected. The length of time it took to resolve supply chain...

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) balance sheet tightening in 2023 may frame its window to hike rates, since it gives a natural pause to see the effect of...

The last time Australia’s official cash rate had a five in front of it, the world was going through the biggest financial crisis since the Great Depression. Within the...

One of the larger fixed-income anomalies observed in 2021 was the record increase in the spread between interest rate swaps and Commonwealth government bond yields,...

In our 2019 market insight titled ‘Federal Funds Rate projections. They expect what???’, we covered what the US Federal Reserve’s expectations for interest rate...

Much has been written about how a deterioration in residential mortgage lending standards, questionable structuring and indiscriminate buying of AAA-rated bonds led...

We believe there are growing risks to the credit spreads of financials, despite what market sentiment might suggest. This is technical in nature rather than...

The inflection points in financial markets look clearer in the charts than they feel in the heat of the moment. When it comes to monetary policy, the watersheds are...

After days of speculation that saw the RBA hold Australian bond investors to the flame, only to come out with a far less “hawkish” hint rates would likely not rise...