quant strategy

How to use the VIX to protect your portfolio

Scott Shuttleworth

Today I wanted to provide some depth on how we use VIX products to manage risk in The Vega Fund portfolio. As far as we know, we’re the first fund in Australia to hedge in this particular fashion and hence some clarity is warranted. It’s not the only tool in... Show More

TREND IS YOUR FRIEND > Aussie Market and Profit Taking Risk

Mathan Somasundaram

Aussie market's up trend is about to break as US optimism struggles to support stretched multiples. Aussie markets has experienced profit taking cycles every 2-3 months over the last year. We estimate downside risk in the short term to be around 5-7%. High PE growth stocks will once again be... Show More

GARY - Growth At Reasonable Yield | You ain't seen nothing yet

Mathan Somasundaram

Global markets are moving from deflation and low rates to an inflation and rate rising environment. Recovering economies will deliver growth while struggling economies will see capital outflows. The changing global dynamics will continue to push investors towards a better equilibrium between growth and yield. We see this transition driving... Show More

GARY - Growth At Reasonable Yield | Making macro risk great again

Mathan Somasundaram

Global markets are beginning to digest the stretched valuations, high yields and strong currency ahead of the US Fed meeting. The aggregate policy outlook from the new administration is expected to push up inflation and debt in the process of raising growth. The inflation rally since October has been running... Show More

Market Manager | Small caps back on the menu at discount prices

Mathan Somasundaram

Global markets are flip flopping with the US market hitting all time highs. US fiscal policy uncertainty, historically low volatility, a rising USD, rising yields and stretched valuations are raising doubts on the recent exuberance in the equity market. Strong commodities along with a robust USD and rising yields suggests... Show More

GARY - Growth At Reasonable Yield | Making inflation great again

Mathan Somasundaram

Global markets are digesting the US election results while the US Fed rate hike in December hangs in the balance. The aggregate policy outlook from the new administration is expected to push up inflation and debt in the process of raising growth. Rising inflation will attract higher interest rates and... Show More

SHIELD – Sustainable High Yield | Banks back in fashion

Mathan Somasundaram

Global market worries are all about US presidential election in the short term while Italian referendum and US Fed rates cycle are the next road blocks ahead. The potential end of easing cycle locally and the rate hike in US will support the yield outlook in the Australian banking sector... Show More

Market Manager | October update – Macro volatility ahead

Mathan Somasundaram

Global markets are running into a weaker US reporting season, US Presidential election and major central bank updates on interest rate cycles. We continue to expect the RBA to stay on hold until 2017 after recent inflation and employment data. US Fed and BOJ are expected to hold fire next... Show More

GARY - Growth At Reasonable Yield | Small Cap Industrials continue to dominate

Mathan Somasundaram

Global markets are moving past US Fed and US election worries as the US reporting season starts to test stretched multiples. A recent bond squeeze has delivered a bounce in yields, whilst a medium to long term outlook suggests that bond yields will settle in the slightly higher range from... Show More

Equity Resource Engineer | Resources to benefit from improving macro clarity

Mathan Somasundaram

Global markets are beginning to move past the recent macro concerns as clarity improves. The US election cycle and US Fed interest rate cycle both remain in line with market expectations. ECB tapering optimism has Brexit and the Italian referendum as road blocks. Central banks are on a supporting bias... Show More

SHIELD – Sustainable High Yield | Yield trade outperforming through market volatility

Mathan Somasundaram

Global market volatility is being driven by US Fed interest rate cycle worries and ECB tapering worries. The yield trade will continue to see support as interest rates remain low for longer. Small cap SHIELD stocks continue to outperform the large caps and the overall market over the last year.... Show More

Equity Market Engineer | Central banks are becoming overexposed reality stars

Mathan Somasundaram

Global markets are looking at US Presidential election and Italian referendum as the next key risk catalysts. Central banks are running out of ammunition and are being forced into even more complex and creative ways to drive asset bubbles. Central banks are becoming the new global reality stars for the... Show More

Equity Financial Engineer | Central bank clarity to drive financials higher

Mathan Somasundaram

Global markets have pulled back on central bank uncertainty. The yield squeeze in the bond markets pushed yield up from the lows and put pressure on stretched equity market valuations. We continue to expect all central banks except the US Fed to remain in an easing bias, while the US... Show More

GARY - Growth At Reasonable Yield | Small Cap Industrials continue to deliver outperformance

Mathan Somasundaram

Global markets are currently going through the cyclical September pullback on heightened macro concerns. Markets may start to worry about the patches of weakness in US economic growth ahead of the Presidential election. We maintain the view that the US Fed will only move in December and the move will... Show More

SHIELD – Sustainable High Yield | Size doesn’t matter

Mathan Somasundaram

Global markets are currently going through the cyclical September pullback on heightened macro worries. We see global growth remaining weak while easing bias from most central banks will support more stimulus when stabilising force is needed. The US rate cycle will be pushed back to December and the worry is... Show More

Equity Resource Engineer | Maintaining the Buy call on Resource sectors

Mathan Somasundaram

Central banks on easing bias, US Fed moving away from interest rate raising cycle and China stimulus will support commodities in the next 6-12 months. Despite the outperformance in the gold sector over the last 9mths, we continue to see more upside and maintain our buy call on the gold... Show More