recession

Latest news and analysis on recession

Macro

The case for optimism: Inside our macro pivot this month

Trump’s pivot on fiscal and trade policy has changed our macro view. We no longer expect a recession - here’s why we’ve turned bullish.
Xinyu Ru
Fawkes Capital Management
Equities

A growth asset that can play defence as well

Medtech's defensive nature gives investors downside protection during bear markets.
RMD
+3
Jacob Celermajer
Cordis Asset Management
Macro

Why lower interest rates rule

The path to lower interest rates is clear - at least in market pricing terms.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

Why the odds are now in favour of a softer landing

Could the economy be dodging a recession? New data suggests a softer outcome might be on the horizon
Xinyu Ru
Fawkes Capital Management
Asset Allocation

What investors can do if we don’t get a soft landing

Markets are hoping for a soft landing, but they are notoriously rare. I take a look at whether we will get one, and what to do if we don't.
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Views from the Top

Morgan Stanley is not expecting the RBA to cut rates this year. Here's where they are investing

And where the big opportunities lie for investors beyond AI, according to Morgan Stanley Wealth Management's Alexandre Ventelon
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Dude, where’s my recession? How to invest for diverging markets

Monetary policy is starting to diverge, with the impact on markets being the story of returns in 2024. Here's what you should know.
Arian Neiron
VanEck
Macro

March podcasts: sell Australia, buy the world

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

The Australian economy is in a "per capita" recession - but does it matter?

Signal or Noise returns with its next episode on Tuesday. But if you can't wait that long, here is a sneak peek!
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Asset Allocation

Soft landing or recession? These 3 economic indicators will tell you the answer

The equity rally reflects optimism about AI-driven growth. But downside risks remain. Here are three scenarios to help manage portfolios.
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

A recession dashboard, Fed peaks and Asian commercial property

This edition of Charts of the Week considers our position at the likely peak of the rate cycle.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Asset Allocation

Why capital preservation (and not growth) should be your top investing goal for 2024

I share four actions you can take to help preserve capital in a year where downside risks dominate the outlook.
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

Indebted companies and the rate-pause consensus

This week’s edition begins with an assessment of global futures markets, indicating that the “rate pause” is assumed around the world.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Asset Allocation

4 actions to take right now to protect your investments against recession

The Fed and RBA have hiked rates aggressively. This almost always means recession. Here are some actions to take to protect your portfolio.
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

Australian recession not to be disregarded

Composite leading indicators suggest that a contraction or recession in Australia should not be disregarded (Siwat Nakmai).
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Watching the NBER’s six recession indicators as US growth confounds the skeptics

We created a dashboard to monitor employment, spending and more.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Interest rates: lower and sooner?

Will the mantra of ‘higher for longer’ interest rates be superseded by ‘lower and sooner'?
Kiryll Prakapenka
Fat Tail Investment Research
Macro

Australia's Rate Surprise

Key Points: • Australia is at, or close to the end, of the fastest monetary policy tightening cycle since the late 1980s. • Every economic cycle is unique, but most...
Alex Cathcart
Drummond Capital Partners
Macro

Growth at a reasonable yield - GARY Top 10: September 2023

As we navigate the ever-evolving landscape of investment, data-driven strategies are emerging as the compass to navigate the challenges posed by rising bond yields,...
ANN
ASB
ASX
+7
Mathan Somasundaram
Deep Data Analytics
Education

How we prepare for – and profit from – recessions

We’ve outperformed over the long term by being conservatively contrarian during booms and aggressively contrarian during busts.
Chris Leithner
Leithner & Company Ltd
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