risk

Over the past month our leading indicators of the industrial cycle have shown signs of peaking. The real question is whether this suggests the industrial cycle is...

This week it's gold and real yields. A really important thing happened with interest rates in November last year which should be front of mind for investors thinking...

Twenty-six years of uninterrupted economic expansion. Australia’s recent performance is now unmatched in history. While a handful of factors have been key to this...

Drawdowns are an inevitable part of investing; even Berkshire Hathaway fell by more than 50% during the GFC. As growth investors, Nick Griffin from Munro Partners,...

If Australia has an Achille’s heal it’s the high and still rising level of household debt that has gone hand in hand with the surge in house prices relative to...

Although confronted with a maturing growth cycle and the likelihood of more modest returns, the catalysts typically leading to past downturns appear largely absent -...

As most of you will have noticed, global share markets have been very turbulent, and sharply down this month. Our view is that this does NOT mark the end of the bull...

Just how risky is the Materials sector? That’s the question we sought to answer as we dive into one of Australia’s largest industries. We use Axioma’s Multifactor...

Following on from the popular post on the seasonal turning point for the VIX last week, here's an insight into seasonality for the S&P500. The chart shows 2017...

With markets currently nervous and also expensive, we reached out to a panel of fund managers to ask: “What strategies or techniques allow you to remain invested even...

The iconic value investor, and CEO of $27 billion hedge fund Baupost, Seth Klarman, has lived and breathed markets for 35 years. Today he’s nervous. Here are 6...