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Market Wraps
us economy
Latest news and analysis on us economy
Macro
December 05, 2022 21:39
Three lessons from the 1970s' Great Inflation (and why it shouldn’t be repeated)
Last month, there was a moment that analysts and financial market participants had been hoping for some time. Like kids waiting for Christmas morning, market...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
December 05, 2022 21:39
Macro
October 31, 2022 09:07
A peak in US inflation opens the door to smaller Fed hikes in December
US core inflation and wage growth have both peaked, but remain high, with the split of inflation showing persistent, broad-based demand-driven gains in consumer...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
October 31, 2022 09:07
Macro
September 13, 2022 20:49
An inversion of M2 and the CPI: a reliable recession signal
With the US’ M2 growth decelerating sharply, as opposed to inflation, a significant recession should now be the major concern Alongside the US delivering its second...
Steven Anastasiou
Economics Uncovered
September 13, 2022 20:49
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Macro
June 20, 2022 08:39
The risk of US recession in 2023 surges
The risk of a recession in the US in 2023 based on bond/equity market pricing and forecasts has surged as interest rates have risen and equities have slumped, with...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
June 20, 2022 08:39
Macro
May 20, 2022 10:05
US equity crash points to heightened risk of 2023 recession
The stock market is signalling a heightened risk of a US recession in mid 2023 assuming no recovery in equity prices over the rest of this year. This is earlier than...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
May 20, 2022 10:05
Macro
May 02, 2022 09:22
Falling real wages and the risk of much higher US interest rates
US wages growth is still rapidly accelerating with the employment cost index up about 4½% over the past year, which is the fastest growth since 2000 and 1991 before...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
May 02, 2022 09:22
Macro
August 23, 2021 08:21
Believe in the expansion
The Delta variant has become the predominant strain of COVID-19 in much of the world. In response, we're seeing a return to lockdowns and other socially...
Nathan Lim
Lonsec Holdings
August 23, 2021 08:21
Macro
July 20, 2021 13:37
Reflections on the shortest US recession in history
It’s official. As announced on 19 July, the United States National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) determined that last year’s US recession* ended in April – just...
David Bassanese
Betashares
July 20, 2021 13:37
Macro
March 15, 2021 09:30
High risk of US equity market correction
US equities are extremely expensive according to long-term valuation measures such as the cyclically-adjusted PE (CAPE) ratio. The CAPE ratio for the S&P500 is...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
March 15, 2021 09:30
Macro
September 30, 2020 11:35
Global opportunities amid COVID-19 with Hamish
Douglass
We sat down with Hamish Douglass, CIO of Magellan Asset Management to discuss global opportunities amid COVID-19. In this interview, Hamish discusses the gap between...
Bell Potter
Stockbroker
September 30, 2020 11:35
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