brexit

Macro
Brett Gillespie

The year is 1991. I’m trading Australian interest rates on the proprietary desk for Bankers Trust. The desk is headed by Richard Farleigh. And the quarterly CPI number is about to be released. In those days, there was 3 opportunities to “trade” a CPI number. First our economist, Andre Morony,... Show More

Macro
Peter Wilmshurst

There remain as many potential scenarios around Brexit now as there was two and a half years ago when the British voted for Brexit. Its still uncertain exactly what the May government wants, and exactly what the EU governments are willing to agree with. So, we sit here with all... Show More

Asset Allocation
Tony Sutton

We asked our portfolio managers to share their views on potential surprises for 2019 which on balance of probabilities are unlikely to happen but shouldn’t be written off entirely. Here are ten potential surprises for 2019. Show More

Asset Allocation
Patrick Poke

Popular wisdom from the likes of Warren Buffett, Jack Bogle, and Burton Malkiel (author of A Random Walk Down Wall Street) states that it's near-impossible to consistently time the market, so why even try? Just buy and hold for the long term, and collect your dividend cheque every six months.... Show More

Patrick Poke

UK Prime Minister faces no confidence vote following historic Brexit defeat, The Reject Shop continues to face pressure from unwanted suitor, and another Aussie retailer enters voluntary administration. Here's what's happening in markets today. Show More

Macro
Jordan Eliseo

Gold prices finished 2018 on a tear, rallying well over USD $100oz from its mid August lows to close out the year at USD $1281.65oz (London Fix on 31/12/18). The metal moved higher in the first trading days of 2019, kissing USD $1300oz, though a strong payrolls report, and a... Show More

Peter Wilmshurst

During the last quarter US economic strength led market sentiment, resulting in a widening valuation gap between the US market and the rest of the world. This widening gap implies a much more favourable backdrop for long-term returns outside the US. Expectations of non-US countries are not only lower, but... Show More

Magellan Asset Management

In 1979, Greenland was granted autonomy within the Danish Realm and three years later the island’s parliament held a vote on EU membership. The main issue was control of Greenland’s fishing rights. By 53% to 47%, Greenlanders opted to leave. It took three years to formulate the island’s departure and... Show More

Saul Eslake

Here are ten things that I think will shape the global and Australian economies in 2018, and that expect I’ll be talking about at conferences and events over the course of the coming year. Show More

James Gerrish

In a 45-minute speech, last night Theresa May outlined her plans/hopes for BREXIT which was tough enough to send European equities lower, led by the UK FTSE which fell 1.5%. There is a long and potentially torturous journey ahead in the negotiations between Britain and the EU. Hence a correction... Show More

AMP Capital

After the recent experience with the Brexit vote in the UK and election of Donald Trump as President of the US, which are indicative of a nationalist backlash against the pro-globalisation establishment, there is a fear that Europe will go the same way with nationalist forces in Italy, Austria, France,... Show More

Gavin Wendt

It’s very much reminiscent of the Brexit vote, where the polls also said the vote would be very close. There seems to be the same motivating factors with respect to voters too – principally those who have lost jobs and who feel they haven’t benefited at all from globalisation and... Show More