economy

Fear abounds when natural disaster strikes—why it pays for investors to stay cool.

UBS now thinks the RBA will hike two more times, taking the cash rate to 4.85% – though it concedes the tally could just as easily be three.

House prices, which have stalled on RBA rate rises, could fall by 4-9% on tax changes, potentially reducing the peak in the cash rate.

Rates markets are worried about risks to inflation, although central banks will ultimately balance both inflation and unemployment.

Oil shocks are stagflationary, limiting the scope of central banks to cut interest rates.

A more insular US economy is affecting world trade, but there is no sign yet that it is mildly disinflationary for the rest of the world.

We test the accuracy of RBA forecasts versus the market & how the RBA and its peers set interest rates using recent history and forecasts.

Shares are up, but expectations for rate cuts are down. How Trump’s about-face on tariffs just slashed RBA rate cut probabilities.

NZ remained in recession at the end of last year, with unemployment rising above 5% and employment falling again in Q4.

From tariffs to immigration, energy and climate, to TikTok - newly elected President Trump has wasted no time in implementing his policies.