seasonality

Latest news and analysis on seasonality

Equities

ASX 200 has date with destiny in September as records look set to tumble

September’s the worst month of the year for the ASX 200, but this indicator suggests this year could buck the trend and deliver new records.
BHP
+7
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Equities

Watch out investors! The ASX 200's record run may be about to implode as “September Swoon” looms

Australian shares have been on a record-setting run, but we’re about to enter the worst period of the year, a time when stocks have tumbled!
BHP
+8
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Education

Sell in May, go away and lose money

Short-term returns are random rather than seasonal; over the medium term, “buy and hold” has increasingly outperformed “sell and switch.”
Chris Leithner
Leithner & Company Ltd
Equities

Here comes Santa! Can we expect ASX shares to soar to record highs in December?

Time flies when you’re having fun! ASX stocks enter December, traditionally one of the strongest months of the year, in strong shape.
BHP
BKW
+17
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Equities

The ASX 200 just hit a new record high, but how long can the good times last?

With the Australian share market trading at a new record high, we look at fundamental and technical factors to see what might happen next.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Commodities

What’s in store for iron ore this November and December

The iron ore price dived and surged in just a few weeks, as did prices of ASX iron ore miners. What usually happens in the last quarter?
BHP
+5
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Equities

What’s in store for Australian shares this October

October gets a bad wrap due to the fact several major crashes occurred during the month, but it’s usually a good period for Aussie shares.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Equities

Did the “September Scare” just begin for the Australian share market?

September has traditionally been the worst month for shares, but what is the Australian experience? Sell, or stay, in September?
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Education

Strap in investors! ASX is primed for a July-August blast off!

Based on seasonal patterns, July and August are typically very strong months for the Australian share market. Will 2024 be any different?
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Equities

We all know about “Sell in May and go away”, but is it too late for 2024?

We test what a poor April means for "Sell in May and go away" and investigate when to buy back if you follow the oldest saying in markets.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Commodities

Is the Middle East conflict a lightning rod for another surge in crude oil prices?

History is littered with sudden surges in oil prices due to geopolitical tensions. Seasonal and technical factors hint of a new bull market.
BPT
STO
+3
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Equities

Beware the Ides of March! What to expect from ASX stocks this month

Seasonal analysis suggests March can be a volatile month, it also suggests March performance tends to reflect prior months’ performance.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Equities

ASX January jitters! Aussie investors' 2024 seasonal roadmap

Seasonal data suggests January underperforms after strong Decembers – just like the one we experienced in 2023.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Equities

Santa Claus Rally is getting cancelled

Data suggests the much-vaunted Santa Claus is becoming less profitable and less reliable for Australian investors.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Commodities

Citi says iron ore price could hit US$140 a tonne by early 2024

Citi says "any dip in iron ore from here through to at least Chinese New Year could represent a buying opportunity."
FMG
Kerry Sun
Livewire Markets
Equities

Why November kicks off the strongest period for stocks

November is typically a positive month for stocks, and over the last 10 years it has been extremely strong
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Equities

The ASX 200 tends to bounce in October. Will this year be any different?

Since 1992, the ASX 200 is up an average 0.89% in October. But here's why things might be different this time round.
Kerry Sun
Livewire Markets
Equities

5 data-driven tips for beating the Australian market: UBS

UBS presents five data-driven ideas that drives outperformance for stocks and indices.
Kerry Sun
Livewire Markets
Equities

How does the ASX 200 perform in September?

It's not the prettiest month for ASX investors. Actually, it's historically been the worst. Could it be different this time round?
Kerry Sun
Livewire Markets
Equities

Chart of the Week - Bear Market Seasonality

Conditional Seasonality Analysis: You’ve probably heard some of the old chestnut market seasonality wisdoms and sayings, for instance: the Santa Claus or year-end...
Callum Thomas
Topdown Charts
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