technical analysis

Asset Allocation
Patrick Poke

Popular wisdom from the likes of Warren Buffett, Jack Bogle, and Burton Malkiel (author of A Random Walk Down Wall Street) states that it's near-impossible to consistently time the market, so why even try? Just buy and hold for the long term, and collect your dividend cheque every six months.... Show More

Livewire News

In a short blog from NAI500 they note that: "In relation to the S&P500, the GSCI commodity index is currently trading at the lowest level in 50 years. Also, the ratio sits significantly below the long-term median of 4.1. Following the notion of mean reversion, we should be seeing attractive... Show More

Alex Cowie

Callum Thomas’ weekly ChartStorm highlights some interesting charts including (below) the seasonally weak period we are entering. However, several charts demonstrate a more positive backdrop with North American institutional investors close to becoming buyers of equities again, while short sellers have retreated, and stock market sentiment on the rise… Show More

Karl Siegling

People often refer to themselves as either “fundamental” or “technical” investors and feel so strongly about one style of investing compared to another that they engage in heated academic debates. The view at Cadence Capital is that investors should use whatever tools are at their disposal to try to beat... Show More

Callum Thomas

Here's 10 charts on the S&P500 covering the short term outlook, medium term earnings outlook, US election, and political risk. Overall a similar conclusion from last week holds i.e. that short-term there remains some risks, but medium term the outlook is positive on the back of improving earnings. Aside from... Show More

Callum Thomas

Here goes 10 charts on the S&P500 which evoke both bullish and bearish thoughts. The bearish ones are generally shorter-term in nature while the bullish ones are more medium term... The simplest way to reconcile it is that we could easily see a correction early this year before the market... Show More

Michael Gable

At the beginning of the year gold was trading at about US$1060 an ounce. It then embarked on a fantastic rally that saw it move above $1360 in the days after Brexit. Since then it has failed to go higher. The gold price has returned over 25 per cent this... Show More

Michael Gable

Investors in SAI Global (SAI) were relieved after last week’s results to see earnings exceed previous guidance. The stock has fallen quite a way since private equity’s proposal two years ago saw the share price exceed $5. With the company undergoing a transformation and believing that the worst is behind... Show More

Michael Gable

Capilano Honey (CZZ) is Australia’s largest honey processor and their various brands command a domestic market share of 70 per cent. They now have a joint venture with New Zealand based Comvita. Comvita is the world leader in Manuka Honey, which is highly sought after for its medicinal properties. Capilano... Show More

Michael Gable

For the last few years, we have avoided the mining services sector. Because of this cautiousness, we have managed to save our clients a lot of money as share prices plummeted. Despite the nice gains in the last 6 months, Monadelphous (MND) is still well down from its all time... Show More

Michael Gable

Strong US housing data this year has seen James Hardie (JHX) maintain its uptrend. However, I have identified some technical signals which indicate that it may be time to secure our profits. Some analysts have identified headwinds such as increasing competition and demand to taper back a bit in the... Show More

Michael Gable

Westfield’s shares have undergone a few iterations over the years, with Westfield Corporation now remaining a global retail property group. It has investments in the US and UK, and those two economies are showing signs of stability. This means that we should continue to see support for retail growth, which... Show More

Michael Gable

The news last Friday that US employment grew at the slowest pace in nearly 6 years put the prospects of June rate rise off the table in the US and put a rocket under the gold price. Our advice to clients 5 weeks ago to get out of Evolution Mining... Show More

Michael Gable

In being an energy retailer as well as a gas and oil producer, should Origin be better sheltered by the drop in oil prices? Lower oil prices have sent the share prices of energy companies lower, but what if the company is as diversified as Origin? Part of the business... Show More