volatility

Investors must tread carefully

Simon Doyle

On the back of the worst March quarter since 2008, indicators show the end of the current cycle is in sight. Trump’s jostle with China is more of a concern than his ‘war of Tweets’ with North Korea, and coupled with the inability of investors to rely on central bank... Show More

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The voting machine and the weighing machine

Tim Carleton

“In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run it is a weighing machine.” Show More

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Was January 26 the cycle peak?

Vimal Gor

There are two attitudes you can take to the February 2018 “flash crash”. The first, and overwhelmingly the most popular, is that this was a technically driven correction in the markets, exacerbated by carry monkeys such as the short-VIX crowd, and that the pause since then has provided a refresh... Show More

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Investors beware: the warning light has begun to flash amber

Roger Montgomery

Warren Buffett recently observed that markets can quickly turn from green to red, without pausing at yellow. It was a veiled warning that when valuations are at extremes – as they are today – it doesn’t take much to trigger something serious. Show More

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Higher funding costs to be a huge problem for lower quality assets in a highly leveraged world

Charlie Jamieson

The volatility genie has now been released and is unlikely to go back in the bottle as late cycle fiscal expansion in the US combined with higher global funding rates from the US Federal Reserve will have markets on their toes going forward. Show More

More trouble on the way?

Tamar Hamlyn

This time last year we wrote on Livewire that inflation and volatility charts were the ones we were watching most closely. Following the recent surge in both measures, Livewire got in touch to ask what we expect from here, and what investors can do about it. Show More

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What 'volatility' really means...

Richard Rauch

The term "volatility” has become a euphemism. What people mean when they say, “markets have experienced some volatility” is that markets have gone down. You never hear a financial commentator bang on about those pesky volatile stocks that are up every single day and breaking new highs. Show More

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Buy the dip or sell the rallies?

Amit Lodha

While in Taiwan this week, meeting with executives of the technology/smartphone value chain, my hotel room shook with earthquake tremors. It struck me that nature has a unique way of sending us mortality messages every so often. In a similar vein, hidden in all the volatility last week, ‘Mr Market’... Show More

The Collins Class Rule

Marcus Padley

Some long-term Marcus Today followers will remember the story about a Member who used to work in a Collins Class submarine on weapons systems (computer whizz). When they surfaced he would download stock-market data. When they submerged he would spend many hours of idle time back testing numbers looking for... Show More

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This is not a drill – It's time for Australian investors to focus on defence

Charlie Jamieson

So far in 2018, markets have grappled with rising bond yields, full employment, US Federal Reserve tightening, a weak USD currency and rising fiscal deficits, spurred by tax reform. We have seen these exact issues before. The year was 1987. Show More

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A new generation learns about nickels and steamrollers

Steve Johnson

You are probably wondering what the hell happened this week. Friday’s relatively minor retreat in global stock markets – apparently due to increasing concerns about inflation and rising interest rates – suddenly became violent. Show More

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The market is hundreds of points too cheap

Michael Knox

When we go into periods of big volatility like this, it is the amount of liquidity in the US wholesale system that decides how long that period of volatility will last. I think this period will last weeks rather than days. I think by the time we get to the... Show More

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Ten quotes on volatility from the masters of the market

Fidelity International

In light of the notable market volatility this week, it is timely to review what the masters of the market have said on the subject. These quotes from some of the most successful investors illustrate how investing in stock markets can be a challenging yet rewarding venture, requiring strong research... Show More

Why even small panics matter

Gareth Brown

Sitting in a pub with property man Pete Wargent a few months ago, we were discussing the property market of Sydney in the 2008-10 ‘downturn’. I use inverted commas because barely a blip registered on any city-wide measurement of house prices. Show More

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Sometimes the safest thing to do is nothing

Jack Lowenstein

As most of you will have noticed, global share markets have been very turbulent, and sharply down this month. Our view is that this does NOT mark the end of the bull market we have seen since we launched the Morphic Global Opportunities Fund in 2012. In consequence, we remain... Show More

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My thoughts on the recent Wall Street correction

Anton Tagliaferro

Last week Wall Street fell over 1,000 points, reversing the sharp rises of earlier in the month. Many are now asking if this is the start of a new trend on markets and what it all means for the Australian sharemarket. Show More

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5 Essential Investing Tips for Millennials: How to Start Building Wealth Early

Kent Kwan

Isn’t it time we changed the dialogue around millennials and money? Moved away from berating them for their supposed avocado-eating, latte-sipping, globe-trotting habits and offered some pragmatic strategies for building a sustainable financial future? We certainly think so. It’s why we’ve broken down 5 investing tips for millennials looking for... Show More

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Livewire Summer School: Using derivatives to your benefit

James Gerrish

We use derivatives across the majority of our portfolios to improve performance and / or to reduce portfolio volatility. They help us consistently beat the market over time and improve the overall flexibility within our portfolios. We are almost entirely ‘sellers’ of options, and the bulk of our transactions are... Show More

Outlook 2018: Volatility coming as central bank support winds back

Colonial First State Global Asset Management

After a favorable “risk on” year that brought numerous new highs to many stock market indices worldwide without significant drawdowns, investors have perhaps become lulled into a state of complacency and security around their investment portfolio allocations. Show More

The top 10 Charts for 2018

Callum Thomas

I spent a lot of time in the 2017 End of Year Special Edition looking back across the year, covering some of my best charts and calls (and some of the worst!). But this article provides a look at the most important part of that report. Show More