Equity Financial Engineer | Banks to see yield support while property under stress

Mathan Somasundaram

Bank sector: Global macro and central bank risks remain, but the downgrade cycle is mainly in the price. The yield premium and central bank easing bias suggests that banks should see support despite weakening outlook. Diversified Financials and Insurance: High leverage to equity markets will deliver when sentiment turns positive in the back half of 2016. Short to medium term risk remains high and the risk/return favours the banks. The valuation to growth and yield suggests there is more downside risk before market support. Property Trusts: Property Trusts remains the highest risk segment of the financials as it is trading at a premium to long term fair value with declining growth and ROE. The flattening yield outlook and recent relative outperformance supports moving funds from Property to Banks. The continued government policy in construction will deliver better growth for LLC despite the sector outlook. (VIEW LINK)


Mathan Somasundaram

2017 - Now > Blue Ocean (AUS) > Market Portfolio Strategist 2012 - 2017> Baillieu Holst (AUS) > Head of Strategy, Quant and Data Analytics 2009 - 2012 > Bell Potter / Southern Cross (AUS) > Head of Quant and Data Analytics 2007 - 2009 > LIM...

Expertise

No areas of expertise

Comments

Please sign in to comment on this wire.