Aussie market's up trend is about to break as US optimism struggles to support stretched multiples. Aussie markets has experienced profit taking cycles every 2-3 months over the last year. We estimate downside risk in the short term to be around 5-7%. High PE growth stocks will once again be... Show More
Best periods for Spot Gold...Jan-Feb and Jul-Sep. Gold will benefit from rising market risk and declining USD as global markets move from fantasy to reality in US fiscal policy outcomes. If the market is right, then inflation and rates will go up. If the market is wrong, then profit taking... Show More
US volatility index has come down to current levels five times in the last decade. Every time the market ran into short term profit taking cycle with rising volatility. Show More
Global markets are moving from deflation and low rates to an inflation and rate rising environment. Recovering economies will deliver growth while struggling economies will see capital outflows. The changing global dynamics will continue to push investors towards a better equilibrium between growth and yield. We see this transition driving... Show More
Whilst global markets have maintained positive momentum into 2017, valuations look stretched. Markets are going to run into the US reporting season given the US leadership change and the recent rally pricing due to the optimistic outlook. However, US fiscal policy uncertainty, historically low volatility, rising USD, rising yields and... Show More
Global markets continue their positive momentum into 2017 on-the-back of the recovery in the US and stability in China, however stretched valuations around the markets are expected to weigh on sentiment over the next few weeks. An improving outlook for interest rates and strong commodity prices has driven a better... Show More
Market lost the momentum from four straight positive days to deliver a negative day. We are in the school holiday period where most investors will take the next two weeks off with Christmas and New Year breaks. We have seen better volumes this week than most expected and that may... Show More
Market moved up again despite negative global sentiment to deliver fourth straight positive day. Aussie market looks to be suffering from delusions of grandeur by maintaining the positive momentum despite falls in global markets, currency, volatility index and yields. We are in the school holiday period where most will take... Show More
Market moved up again on positive global sentiment to deliver third straight positive day. The local market has now reached near 18mth high on price index while making new all-time high on accumulation (i.e. including dividend) index. The main market in focus is the US and history shows that there... Show More
Market moved up again on weak sentiment with fundamentals remaining negative. Geopolitical risks in Turkey and Germany will add to the uncertainty for global markets. Local markets have reached 5600 again and weakening local economic outlook and emerging market risk will weigh on the index. The local market is at... Show More
