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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

Jason Coggins | Globalisation reversal & potential impact of Trump’s tariff initiative

Our Partner & Investment Committee Chair Jason Coggins has written a short note on last week's tariff related move in markets. Enjoy!
Murdoch Gatti
York Wealth Management
Macro

Could Donald Trump’s ‘endgame’ be global debt forgiveness?

While it sounds farfetched could Trump's endgame with reciprocal tariffs be global forgiveness of US debt by foreign governments?
Clive Smith
Macro

Where are we now, what happens next, and what's the plan?

These are the three questions you need to answer if you want to survive and thrive. Here, I probe Matthew Kidman for answers.
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

US Jobs Report shows calm before the storm

The February jobs report showed a solid 228,000-worker boost in payrolls, well above consensus expectations, providing a partial offset to a week dominated by negative...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Transatlantic Reversal?

Trade-related uncertainty is already hurting confidence, including in the US, before the “real” impact of tariffs hits.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

Trump tariffs vs Market expectation

What is the announcement, and how does it compare to market expectations? President Trump announced that he would apply a minimum 10% tariff on all exporters to the...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Why we now expect four more RBA rate cuts this year

If the RBA were uncertain on Tuesday, then their heads must surely be spinning after Liberation Day.
Tim Toohey
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

Aggressive US tariffs pressure China for a forceful response

To date, the Trump administration has raised the US tariff on Chinese imports from about 22% to 76%.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Tariffs, trade, and tumbling markets: What it means for investors

Liberation day has dampened any positive expectations about the near-term future. Risk markets have gapped lower, with energy and risk-sensitive currencies also having...
Charlie Jamieson
Jamieson Coote Bonds
Macro

Weighing up 'Liberation Day'

Trump’s tariff shock, AI doubts, and global divergence made Q1 brutal for US stocks. Diversification was the only real winner.
Tom Stevenson
Fidelity International
Macro

Navigating the next 46 months of Trump

Donald Trump’s second term was expected to reignite the market strategy of his first – corporate tax cuts, deregulation, and a pro-business stance.(1) While Trump’s...
Billy Leung
Global X ETFs
Macro

US tariffs point to a sharp US contraction & global downturn

The latest US tariffs plus extreme policy uncertainty point to a sharp decline in US output and the risk of a synchronised global downturn
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Tariffs: Making the U.S. Exceptional, but not in a good way

The tariffs that the U.S. is imposing on its trading partners will bring about several costs that are important for investors to understand. Some of those costs are...
Ben Inker
GMO
Macro

Liberation Day is here; gold futures surge as Trump slaps 25% tariffs on all cars; 10% on Australia & UK, 20% on EU

AMP’s Shane Oliver tips a 15% market fall from recent highs as Trump eyes the most extreme US protectionist policy in over 100 years.
WLE
WMI
Vishal Teckchandani
Livewire Markets
Macro

A buying opportunity or the prelude to a full-blown bear market?

There’s only one story in global markets this week. What the US President has dubbed Liberation, and others prefer to call Demolition, Day.
Tom Stevenson
Fidelity International
Macro

This region is poised to outperform. Here's where you should be looking

Powerful shifts are shaping fresh investment opportunities. Andrew Swan of Man Group explains the forces fueling this transformation.
Anna Dadic
Livewire Markets
Macro

Germany’s fiscal shift: A boost to Europe, but U.S. edge remains

Heading into 2025, U.S. exceptionalism remained a dominant theme. But tech sector struggles, downward revisions to U.S. economic growth forecasts, and Germany’s...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

The US economy could contract in Q1 as spending broadly stalls

US GDP could contract in Q1 as consumer spending broadly stalls on higher actual/expected inflation and fears of higher unemployment
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

March 2025 Podcasts

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

A growth revival: the start of European exceptionalism?

At the start of the year, U.S. exceptionalism, which has prevailed for over a decade, was widely expected to persist. Since then, however, several factors have...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Macquarie's Viktor Shvets rewrites rules of investing, warns world on brink of upheaval

The strategist says to forget economic cycles and traditional valuation ratios as excess capital and tech change markets faster than ever.
Tom Richardson
Livewire Markets
Macro

The 2025-26 Budget – pretty uninspiring, with deficits for years

The key things investors need to know about the Budget.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

The Fed looks overly optimistic on the US outlook

IMF analysis suggests that the Fed is too optimistic on the likely impact of initial Trump tariffs.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Tight(er) financial conditions will end the bull market

Since the late-1980s they’ve mostly been lax. But at some point they’ll constrict and remain tight – and the 40-year bull market will end.
Chris Leithner
Leithner & Company Ltd
Macro

'Trumponomics' and the 2025 Global Macro Outlook

Global macro, ‘Trumponomics’ and the 2025 outlook — Chris Watling and Kallum Pickering take a whirlwind tour of the world economy.
Chris Watling
Longview Economics
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