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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

Investment regime change is here... is your portfolio ready for it?

Relying on the investment playbook of the 2010s may no longer cut it.
Anthony Doyle
Pinnacle Investment Management
Macro

A deeper dive into US core inflation

Analysis suggests there is merit to Warsh arguing that trimmed mean inflation is better than the traditional core PCE series.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Midterms, war and U.S. debt

With the prospect of a full-scale war in the Middle East increasing, with bond yields heating up, and with famed short seller Michael Burry increasing his short...
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
Markets

We’re poorer, inflation’s back - and the RBA knows it

A whiff of stagflation is back as rates hit 4.35%. Inflation is rising, growth is slowing - and the RBA may have no easy way out.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

AI’s growing influence on fixed income markets

While much of the attention around AI has centred on equities, the technology is increasingly impacting bond markets.
Chris Iggo
BNP Paribas Asset Management
Macro

Markets rebound as geopolitical shocks follow a familiar script

Global equity markets have staged a sharp rebound in recent weeks, delivering their strongest monthly performance in several years. The S&P 500 rose 10.5% in total...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Fed Chair nominee Warsh points to a lower measure of inflation to argue for rate cuts

Warsh has pointed to a less commonly-used measure of inflation that is close to the Fed's target.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

ECB continues to hold the line on rates

But the central bank's President Christine Lagarde has hinted that some tightening may be on its way.
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Where does the Fed go from here?

The policy outlook is exceptionally complex, with a new Fed Chair in the wings, elevated oil prices, and a low-hire, low-fire labour market.
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Lighting the Olympic flame in Brisvegas 2032

Brisbane 2032 will unleash billions in construction spending. We examine who foots the bill and which companies are best placed to benefit.
Robert Miller
NAOS
Markets

Joye: RBA's 'hot economy' experiment goes up in smoke

Christopher Joye says Australia faces the prospect of a prolonged rate hiking cycle as government policy fuels higher inflation.
James Marlay
Livewire Markets
Macro

The problem with thinking the Strait will be open soon

What if, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz doesn’t flow for six or more months? And even beyond that, supply takes longer to recover?
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Chips and oil: The forces shaping markets

The technology theme has continued to dominate stock market returns.
Chris Iggo
BNP Paribas Asset Management
Macro

The market is pricing the wrong variable in the Strait of Hormuz

A Strait of Hormuz closure is not just an oil story. What it means for commodities, inflation, and Australian investors.
ALD
VVR
Emanuel Datt
Datt Capital
Macro

Why is Aussie inflation so stubborn?

In response to the re-emergence of inflation (core / trimmed mean) which has dogged Australian policy makers since COVID, last month the Reserve Bank of Australia...
Chris Bedingfield
Quay Global Investors
Macro

Energy transition: humans are bad at non-linear relationships

As fossil fuel scarcity meets exponential solar growth, investors must grasp the non-linear shifts driving the energy transition.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

AI usage has accelerated, but remains relatively low in most countries

AI usage, judged using the Indeed Hiring Labs measure of job ads, has accelerated, but the take-up among companies is narrowly based.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

9 key longer term consequences of the US/Israeli war with Iran

A fragile ceasefire hides rising inflation, weaker growth and lasting geopolitical shifts set to reshape markets and returns.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

Energy prices lift US CPI

The March CPI report marked a meaningful reacceleration in headline inflation, on both a monthly and annual basis, driven largely by the surge in energy prices tied to...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Strong US core inflation before the energy shock hits

Core inflation remained strong ahead the spike in energy prices. The Fed will talk tough on inflation risks as it shifts to a neutral bias.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The state of play with the energy price shock

Rates markets are worried about risks to inflation, although central banks will ultimately balance both inflation and unemployment.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Three global shocks, one policy error

There have been some interesting quarters over the past decade, but nothing quite compares with the first quarter of 2026.
Tim Toohey
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

Relative strength, absolute conviction: reading oil’s rise before it happened

Outlooks, and supply forecasts often paint a very different picture to ‘price action.’ The move in oil demonstrates why charts are crucial
James Cooper
Fat Tail Investment Research
Macro

Sink or Swim

Will the new wave of AI-related investment float the market or sink it?
+4
GMO Investment and Asset Management
GMO
Macro

Your portfolio was built for cheap oil. That world is gone

Things are different now and the parallel to the 1970s is one worth paying attention to.
James Cooper
Fat Tail Investment Research
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