housing

First, a big thanks for the incredible interest in, and downloads of, our Complexity Premia podcast! We have just published the third episode where we: discuss...

Today I show how ScoMo has already delivered a $7bn plus budget surplus on a number of the key measures years in advance of what rating agencies and analysts (save...

Let's take a step back from the monthly housing data and ask ourselves: What's happening in the market and are we seeing a bottom in prices - or are there further...

Coolabah developed the world's first compositionally-adjusted, or hedonic, regression-based index of RMBS default rates, covering all prime deals that Bloomberg...

The Australian economy performed well during 2018 with rising GDP, lower unemployment and stable inflation. Despite this, the outlook for 2019 is not as positive, as a...

In my column today I reveal that Australia is now officially experiencing the biggest house price falls on record in almost 40 years: home values across the five...

In my column today I argue that to have any hope of divining the prospects for 2019, one has to first solve the Rubik’s Cube that was 2018 in which the most overvalued...

The last four months of 2018 were brutal for investors everywhere. October was particularly painful, with most managers off by -5 to -10%. So it caught my eye when I...

The critical financial issue in the Australian economy at present is clearly the possible economic effect of the decline in home prices. We have been warning about...

One of our best “short” (as opposed to “long”) ideas this year has been to bet that the credit spreads on residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) would...

I always think of periods of market volatility as manageable brush fires - while still causing market nervousness they’re actually better for the long-term market...

Today I review research that shows if Labor eliminates negative gearing and increases capital gains tax by 50%, national house prices could fall 9-12% on top of the...

Today I argue that the Hayne royal commission's interim report is flawed in several respects that will force lenders to hike mortgage rates and reduce access to credit...