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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

The Fed and the RBA part company on policy

Improving inflation is consistent with the Fed cutting rates next month, while a hawkish-sounding RBA plans to keep rates on hold.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The 6 most interesting charts from the Commonwealth Bank result

For macro-minded investors, the CBA earnings chart pack always provides some interesting insights.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Economists and forecasting: Why do we have different opinions?

Despite looking at virtually the same sets of figures, economists often have different opinions about the outlook.
Diana Mousina
AMP
Macro

7 key charts for investors to keep an eye on - Where are they now?

The charts are inflation, global PMI, unemployment; profit growth, the gap between earnings yields & bond yields, and the US Dollar.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

Dark clouds ahead: The rising risk of a US recession

Based on recent developments, we believe the likelihood of a recession occurring within the next 9 to 12 months is more likely than not.
Xinyu Ru
Fawkes Capital Management
Macro

RBA leaves the cash rate at 4.35%, US reports 233k weekly unemployment claims

We look at five of the biggest developments across global markets for the week ending 9 August 2024
COH
COL
CSL
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

The RBA says interest rate cuts are off the table for 2024. These investors disagree

The statement appeared to be non-committal at first but RBA Governor Michele Bullock turned up the hawkish heat during the media conference.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

High yield: It’s the yield that matters

Despite the focus on credit spreads, yield has proven to be a more reliable indicator for investing in this asset class.
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Australia is at the back end of a major regime change – but that’s not a bad thing for investors

The 50th episode of The Rate Debate focuses on the big risks markets aren't talking about enough.
Darren Langer
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

Markets: We don’t believe you RBA…We expect 3 rate cuts in the next 12 months!

The Reserve Bank chose to keep its cash rate on hold at their August meeting, but market pricing suggests they’re about to cut, and cut big…
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

What caused stocks to crash, what’s next for markets, and how to defend your portfolio

Just the facts on what’s happening in global financial markets and what you can do about it.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

Caught in an economic riptide or merely a ripple? – Global markets tumble

Global markets have been whipsawed by a series of sharp blows in the last few days, but mainly centring around concerns about the health of the U.S. economy. Our view...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Why everything has to go right this ASX reporting season (and 4 must-watch stocks)

The most important month of the investing year is here - and the stakes are very high.
BAP
+5
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

The drivers of higher unemployment across countries

Weaker demand for labour explains higher unemployment in most countries, but Australia's jobless rate has edged up on increased supply.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

This indicator predicted every US recession for 35 years and it’s flashing a major warning for stocks!

US stocks are tumbling and investors are trying to figure out what’s next for the ASX. This indicator may be a critical piece of the puzzle.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

Meeting the Sahm rule recession threshold supports a September Fed rate cut

The US unemployment rate has edged above most estimates of the NAIRU for the first time since 2021, supporting a Fed rate cut next month.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Hoping the Fed hasn't made a policy mistake

Today’s jobs report for July confirms that the labor market is slowing, all but ensuring a September rate cut. The 114,000 new jobs added last month missed consensus...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Ways to hedge inflation

Long-term savings need to grow more than inflation to meet future liabilities or lifestyle choices.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

The one question these investors want answered this ASX reporting season

This reporting season comes at a critical time for the ASX 200 and for corporate Australia.
CSL
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Forget RBA hikes! Market now pricing 3 interest rate cuts by Christmas 2025

Better than expected June CPI inflation data has flipped market pricing for Australian interest rates over the next 18 months on its head.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

The balanced Fed statement should fool no one - a September cut is likely

While the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept its benchmark policy rate unchanged yet again, and the tone of the statement and press conference was intended to...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

July 2024 Podcasts: Is AI a bust after all?

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Views from the Top

Christopher Joye: How investors can prepare ahead of a second "humiliating" RBA rate hiking cycle

The Coolabah Capital Investments Co-Founder and CIO also tells us why he thinks the RBA will be "humiliated" into more rate hikes.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Eurozone manufacturing declines, US new core durable goods orders rise to 0.5% m/m

We look at five of the biggest developments across global markets for the week ending 26 July 2024
BHP
FMG
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

What we learned from our recent trip to America (Part 1)

In the first of a two-part series, we discuss what we learned from our recent trip stateside
Sarah Shaw
4D Infrastructure
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