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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

The price of uncertainty

Attention has shifted dramatically from Europe to the US recently with markets forced to price in a high level of political and economic uncertainty in the run up to...
Tom Stevenson
Fidelity International
The Pitch

How Ox Capital is investing for a market reversal

Ox Capital CIO Dr Joseph Lai shares why investors should be looking beyond the strong US dollar and soft commodity prices.
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

The right time for stock picking (and an ASX company we believe is oversold)

There are several very good reasons why now is an ideal time to favour active investing over passive investing
RMD
Tim Carleton
Auscap Asset Management
Macro

From Bitcoin to Ballots: Crypto's impact on the 2024 US Elections

Reflecting on my recent trip to the United States, where the buzz around cryptocurrency is palpable, it's clear that digital assets have woven themselves into the...
Caroline Bowler
BTC Markets
Macro

Canadian Core CPI rises to 2.9% y/y, The Australian economy adds 50.2k new jobs in June

We look at five of the biggest developments across global markets for the week ending 19 July 2024
AMC
BXB
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Long term trends still rule

It has been a good first half of the year for investors, but I am not sure if it will continue to be.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

ECB: Nothing to see here

Having delivered its first cut of the cycle last month, the European Central Bank (ECB) kept rates on hold today — as was widely expected. The interest rate on the...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Australian shares at new record highs - is it sustainable?

We slightly increase our expectations for the ASX 200 this year but also anticipate a more volatile, constrained outlook
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

C’mon Aussie! Going overseas? Maybe don’t swap those Aussie dollars just yet…

Thinking of going overseas and wondering when to change your Aussie dollars? It might be worth holding off, says Morgan Stanley.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

Why is Australia talking about rate hikes?

...when the rest of the world is talking about rate cuts?
Diana Mousina
AMP
Macro

RBA optimism on the economic outlook to be tested

History suggests that the RBA finds it very hard to fine-tune the economy.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Easing inflation: A clear path to a September cut

The June CPI reading significantly increases the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September. This marks the second consecutive month of weaker-than-expected...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

How FY24 defied the bears' predictions (and the outlook for the year ahead)

A surprisingly great year for global shares despite significant inflation, interest rates and political risks.
+2
Bob Cunneen
MLC Asset Management
Macro

Easing inflation paves a clear path to a September cut

The June CPI reading puts the Federal Reserve (Fed) on the path to a September rate cut. Not only is this the second consecutive weaker-than-expected reading, but June...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Fed policy, the Sahm rule and the risk of recession

Rising unemployment has almost reached the "Sahm rule" threshold that has historically been a useful guide to US recessions.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

5 reasons why the Australian dollar is likely to rise further – if recession is avoided

There is good reason to expect the $A to rise into next year, and a strong case for a slight weighting toward hedged global investments
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

A new dawn for markets as global elections continue

Political events can cause uncertainty and disruption, impacting prices and trade with global implications.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

RBNZ starts to set the stage for rate cuts this year

Continued economic weakness has seen the RBNZ open the door for considering rate cuts this year.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

It has rarely been sensible to bet against Uncle Sam

The investment focus naturally shifts to the US in July near Independence Day but more so than ever this year as the completion of elections in the UK and in France...
Tom Stevenson
Fidelity International
Macro

The stage is set for rate cuts

Despite economic uncertainty, markets rallied in the first half of 2024, driven by expected Fed rate cuts and surging AI stocks. The second half of the year is likely...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Policy choices and Australia’s growth conundrum

Economists build their forecasts via the inputs to demand. But when population and productivity are moving this fast, a different approach is needed. In this latest...
Tim Toohey
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

AI's power struggle: An energy crisis in the making

AI's explosive growth is threatening to outpace our current power grid capabilities, sparking a looming energy crisis.
Xinyu Ru
Fawkes Capital Management
Macro

The "hope" phase for markets has ended. Here's where we are investing next

It's entirely feasible that most of Europe, the US and Canada will be well on their way with interest rate cutting campaigns.
Tim Toohey
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

US jobs report is consistent with a soft landing

Today’s jobs report is broadly consistent with the soft landing narrative. Monthly payrolls growth weakened slightly in June, and there were downward revisions to...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

US manufacturing PMI contracts to 48.5, European Core CPI Flash estimate rises steady at 2.9%

We look at five of the biggest developments across global markets for the week ending 5 July 2024
BHP
FMG
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
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