rates

Asset Allocation
Livewire Exclusive

Chris Watling from London-based Longview Economics has been a vocal bear for some time and recently called for an Australian recession. The real question now though is what can investors do with this information? We asked him and his responses were quite surprising. Chris, who also argues that the Fed... Show More

Macro
Livewire Exclusive

The world’s most powerful central bank, the Fed, has hiked rates nine times since 2015. After a policy of providing guidance, and sticking to it, the Fed abruptly turned dovish in December. Fed policy is one of the key drivers for markets globally, particularly given the backdrop of quantitative tightening,... Show More

Marcus Padley

In December last year, I wrote an article entitled “Nothing Terribly Wrong” talking about the market fears being overdone. At the time the ASX 200 was down 12% from the top. In hindsight, a marvellous thing, I wrote it ten days before the market bottomed. The markets have bounced. Let... Show More

Chris Rands

In part one of this deep-dive, we analysed the economic impact a demographic headwind can have using Japan as a case in point. In part two, we looked at how an ageing population can impact government debt. To conclude this series, we discuss the impact demographics may have on inflation,... Show More

Expert Insights
Livewire Exclusive

The Fed has hiked 3 times this year and plans another four hikes by the end of next year. Their collective impact is still ‘in the post’ as hikes take time to bite. When we asked Charlie Jamieson, CIO at Jamieson Coote Bonds what he expects, he gave a sobering... Show More

Shane Oliver

For years now, many have told us that Australia is heading for an imminent recession. By contrast official forecasts have long been looking for several years of above trend growth. In the event neither has happened and we don’t see them happening anytime soon. Against this backdrop there are five... Show More

Collections
Livewire Exclusive

What would you nominate as the most under-appreciated risk in the market today? There seems to have been an endless carousel of macro ‘bogeymen’, yet markets keep inching higher. So which risks really matter, and which ones have investors overlooked? We asked a panel of leading economists for their take. Alex... Show More

Michael  Doble

Everyone shops on the Internet these days, don’t they? That’s why Armageddon looms for retailers and therefore investors in retail property. If you’re looking for a reason why the share price of Retail AREITs in the ASX 300 are down 2.3% over the last two years, there’s your answer. Show More

Tim Hannon

The current 25-year credit cycle has seen Australian household leverage rates move to record levels versus all other developed markets. This degree of leverage is unprecedented in Australian history and is often a precursor to a major housing correction. Show More

Charlie Jamieson

2018 has been, so far, a year of transformational markets driven by populism, politics and policy. Tectonic plates are shifting under the market, and investors are rightly nervous. Despite nearer term fluctuations, U.S. equity markets still remain close to record valuations while looking fatigued. Meanwhile, Quantitative Easing (QE) is being... Show More

Stuart Dear

Economic growth in most countries continues to print at or above trend. The slack in economies created during the GFC and its aftershocks (Europe in 2011, emerging economies in 2015) is finally being eliminated. Whereas in each of the last few years there was considerable uncertainty about whether central banks... Show More

Mark Houghton

The ‘balanced’ portfolio has become an institution in the financial world. Equities and bonds are the main ingredients and the ‘mix’ determines the categories of balanced funds commonly used. Here we discuss this approach, and look at another option. Show More

Brett Gillespie

Who said “Let them eat cake”? Most will answer Marie Antoinette. The Storming of the Bastille on the 14th July, 1789 marked the beginning of a French Revolution that was to last 10 years, overthrow the monarchy and replace it with a Republic, only to then see a military coup... Show More

Pete Wargent

In this report, we have isolated two of the leading indicators in Australia’s economy, namely building approvals and money growth, and highlighted some key themes arising from our findings. Our analysis is independent and takes account of evidence through liaison with industry contacts, combined with data. Show More