coronavirus

In the AFR this weekend I write that it now appears Victoria’s tragic second wave peaked around July 31. In early July we started applying our internal forecasting...

Western Europe suggests Victoria’s cases will continue fallingAfter analysing Western European data, their collective outcome suggests that Victoria’s lockdown...

The almost $30 billion Australians have yanked from their super during the government’s early release program is anything but free money, BetaShares modelling shows....

Goldman Sachs' economists write this morning: We now expect that at least one vaccine will be approved by the end of 2020 and will be widely distributed by the end of...

In the AFR today I reflect on the question of when Victoria's COVID-19 crisis will peak, and the ramifications for financial markets, and securitised portfolios of...

Escalating COVID-19 infection rates in the U.S. have forced a rollback of many economic opening measures, potentially uprooting the already fragile recovery in U.S....

In the AFR this weekend I write that investment decisioning is complex right now because the world is in such an unusual and fluid place. One of the most important...

In the latest episode of our Complexity Premia podcast, Ying Yi Ann Cheng and I discuss a range of issues, including: why the emergence of effective COVID-19...

In what follows, I wish to deal with how the UK’s engagement with China will stress and strain in the near-term, but should inevitably see them collaborate in a way...

In the AFR today I write that the next big pivot-point for markets in the months ahead will likely be the advent of vaccines. To read the full column click here or AFR...

One question we have been regularly asked is when will Victoria's second COVID-19 wave actually peak. We can use our existing COVID-19 forecasting systems to address...

The past financial year was poor for investors as coronavirus knocked economies into what is likely to be their biggest hit since the 1930s. Shares were hit hard, but...

Through the pandemic, global fiscal support packages have gone a long way towards helping to offset the decline in corporate and household income. In the U.S., where...

As I reflect on the financial year just gone past it goes without saying that navigating markets through the challenges of COVID has certainly been an experience. This...

An investor’s best friend… Google. We all use it, we all love it. Google processes approximately 70,000 search queries per second, meaning 5.8 billion searches per...

In what follows I will swiftly cross Continents to consider the futures of four enigmatic economies. The fortunes of two of these concern me greatly but, that of the...

In my previous post I highlighted screenshots from our real-time, global COVID-19 infection/fatality tracking-system that demonstrated that Victoria had never...

The World Wide Pandemic Recession of 2020 will end. History is clear – all recessions have a start and an end. An economic downturn is always followed by economic...

Our data scientists’ analysis of Victoria's COVID-19 infection trajectory has unearthed a disturbing finding: it would appear that since April our southern neighbour...

Stock markets are almost as expensive as they have ever been on a range of different measures. The economy is almost as bad as it has ever been on a range of different...