Jeremy Grantham says beware the market ‘melt-up’

Roger Montgomery

Alas, there’s no magic signal to tell us when this market could savagely correct. The latest note of caution comes from famed US investor, Jeremy Grantham. He believes we are seeing a ‘melt-up’ in the stock market – the final stages of a great bubble near to bursting. Show More

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The Collins Class Rule

Marcus Padley

Some long-term Marcus Today followers will remember the story about a Member who used to work in a Collins Class submarine on weapons systems (computer whizz). When they surfaced he would download stock-market data. When they submerged he would spend many hours of idle time back testing numbers looking for... Show More

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Stocks and strategies for stormy markets

Livewire Exclusive

The Dow Jones’ 2-day, 1,800-point correction, left many investors scrambling for ideas on Monday and Tuesday. By 10:30am Wednesday, many stocks had recovered close to their previous highs. While most experienced investors know that corrections and crashes can offer great buying opportunities, it’s easy to be caught off guard by... Show More

Surviving and profiting from the market rout

Nathan Bell

If you’re a know-something investor, then you’ve likely been expecting or hoping for a correction with increased volatility for a while. Corrections are normal, what’s been abnormal is the 59% increase in the S&P500 from the low of 1,810 in February 2016 without a 5% correction. Clearly this blissful period... Show More

UBS: Now is not the time to reduce exposure

Alex Cowie

Mark Haefele, the Global Chief Investment Officer at UBS penned a short note on the US market’s drastic pullback, calling for calm and suggesting it is not time to reduce exposure, not unless rates or inflation keep rising. Here’s his comment in full: Show More

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Market correction: What does it all mean?

Craig James

The US Dow Jones has fallen by over 1,800 points or 7.1 per cent over the past two days. After hitting record highs on January 26, the Dow Jones index has eased to 2-month lows. Show More

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My thoughts on the recent Wall Street correction

Anton Tagliaferro

Last week Wall Street fell over 1,000 points, reversing the sharp rises of earlier in the month. Many are now asking if this is the start of a new trend on markets and what it all means for the Australian sharemarket. Show More

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The stockmarket season is changing

Callum Thomas

Following on from the popular post on the seasonal turning point for the VIX last week, here's an insight into seasonality for the S&P500. The chart shows 2017 superimposed on the historical average price movement across the year, and it looks like a fairly decent fit, with the implication being... Show More

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Opportunities in volatile markets and what this means for value investors

Peters MacGregor Capital Management

Having taken a breather in the December quarter, markets again suffered an unusual bout of volatility as we move into 2016. January saw the S&P 500, for example, record another technical correction (>10% decline) as markets continued absorbing the potential for higher US interest rates in the periods ahead. Although,... Show More

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What causes bear markets?

Livewire News

This chart from JP Morgan Funds shows historical bear markets (a 20% market decline from the previous all time high), what caused them, and the magnitude of the drawdown. “This is meant to illustrate that lofty valuations are not predictors of bear markets, but rather, bear markets are caused by... Show More

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Technicals - Shanghai index further downside potential....US market technicals remain negative

Angela Mangan

The Shanghai Composite index close below the 2930 major support level yesterday indicates the potential for a further substantial decline. The rally today has not changed this negative technical view. Major subsequent support is now located at 2760. The surge on the US market overnight has not altered the negative... Show More

About Last Night: A market that almost fell apart

Chad Slater

I wouldn't normally blog about a down day or why this correction is taking place - there is always a reason after the fact, this time it happens to be China. No, last night (Monday night Australian time) in the USA was a LOT worse than what it looks like.... Show More

Transurban: What analysts aren't pricing

Livewire Exclusive

Justin Braitling, Chief Investment Officer at Watermark Funds, believes the domestic and global outlook is pointing to a sustained period of low growth. Against this backdrop Braitling says you need to focus on investing in companies with ‘privileged assets’ and the ability to exert pricing power. He uses the example... Show More

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The market correction from a value investor perspective

Livewire Exclusive

John Abernethy CIO of Clime has the following view on the Australian share market from a value perspective. “On a valuation metric it has fallen into value …the Australian market using a bond yield of 3% is presenting as good value. However, the outlook is difficult, the risk of recession... Show More


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What happens after the carnage?

Livewire News

According to Bespoke Investment Group the market usually outperforms in the weeks after a sell-off of greater than 5%. “If you're trying to decide what to do this week, maybe Bespoke's chart will help. It gives you a look at what happened in the S&P 500 in the weeks following... Show More

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Sunset Strip | Aussie Afternoon Institutional Market Wrap

Mathan Somasundaram

Aussie market ran into global selloff sentiment on China worries. The big negative global sentiment was further fuelled by the lack of any PBOC action to stimulate the economy or support the equities markets. Chiquities or Shangbang was down 8% and looks well on the way to seeing substantially more... Show More

6 Things To Do When Markets Tumble

Steve Johnson

This is not a time for hand holding. This post is for those, like us, excited about the falls we are seeing on global markets. It's for those, like us, who use these opportunities to invest. It's time to get busy and here's how to go about it: Show More

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"Market Correction" or something more sinister?

Wentworth Securities

Readers/Investors will have had plenty to read on the subject of a "correction" over the weekend and today. Radio stations leading with "market correction" headlines is often a sign that we are near the end of a sell off. We give our take on the sell-off and some valuable links... Show More