A roadmap for Australian investors in the global market

Geoff Wood

2018 has been a fascinating year so far with many different cross-currents running through markets. We have seen central banks hiking, just as Governments look to expand fiscally. At the same time, the big economic powerhouses go head-to-head on trade. Where does this all lead us? Below we walk through... Show More

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What are our strongest investment positions?

Scott Haslem

In our first monthly letter for the year, we highlighted that 2018 was unlikely to be a ‘set and forget’ year for investment strategy. As we approach the second half of 2018, macro uncertainty and cascading geo-political risks continue to impact markets and seem likely to befriend us for the... Show More

Run for the hills... interest rates are exploding!

Jason Teh

...Or that is what some equity pundits masquerading as bond experts want you to believe. They predict that a ‘bondcano’ of rising interest rates will lead to collapsing prices for bonds and bond-like proxies. Show More

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Why the Aussie is up and the Greenback is down

Andrew Macken

Has the recent weakness in the US dollar surprised you? Has the strength in the Aussie dollar had you scratching your head at all? To many, including your author, these moves have been counter-intuitive to some degree. So what could possibly be placing downward pressure on the Greenback and upward... Show More

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Multiple fault lines opening for the Aussie Dollar

Elizabeth Moran

One month into 2018 and the AUD has punched above 80 US cents and is looking pretty perky. It is trading around its highs against the beleaguered USD since 2014. So, why is it up here again? Can it last? Is it time to sell? Or strap in for a... Show More

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Sharp fall for the Aussie as US bond yields pass Australian bond yields?

Stephen Koukoulas

US bond yields are rising more quickly than the equivalent Australian yields. The 10 year government bond in the US is now yielding 2.71 percent, just 14 basis points below the Australian 10-year bond and if the recent trends in the relative economic fundamentals of the two countries is sustained,... Show More

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Is Bitcoin a rational investment?

Tim Kelley

Bitcoin has enjoyed an extraordinary surge in both value and public attention recently. The chart below maps the rise in the price of a Bitcoin in USD over the last few years, and a similar chart could probably be plotted for the number of column inches, the number of internet... Show More

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Australian Dollar: Is now the time to hedge?

David Sokulsky

We believe that global diversification should be at the core of each investor’s strategy. A globally diversified portfolio is likely to be better positioned to weather large movements in markets, and provide a more stable set of returns over time. However, one of the implications of a globally diversified portfolio... Show More

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Sunset Strip > Trading Day Wrap From Blue Ocean 20170706

Mathan Somasundaram

Local market was aimless and flip flopped with US futures all day to finish mainly flat. Currency, Commodity and global sentiment remains weak. The historical trend suggests were likely to remain in this up and down trading days till the last week of July. The best performing sectors were IT,... Show More

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Hypno Crypto – the strange world of cryptocurrencies

Marcus Tuck

The recent correction in the technology sector has been particularly volatile for the so called cryptocurrencies. Cryptocurrencies are a US$112 billion market that can turn over US$5 billion a day. Show More

PIMCO: 5 key policy pivots to test markets

Livewire News

The global economy is now more than seven years into a durable but modest expansion. But what will happen when the cyclical tailwind that began last summer fades? And how will key policies in the world’s major economies pivot in response to both rising populist pressures and diminishing returns from... Show More

The great unwind comes... slowly

Clime Asset Management

When the US Federal Reserve (“the Fed”) Chair announced the much anticipated increase in the Federal Funds or cash rate on 15 March, she noted that the Fed intended to maintain the size of its balance sheet through this calender year. In other words the Fed would, for at least... Show More

Investors predict one way traffic for Aussie Dollar

Buy Hold Sell

Everyone forecast the death of the Aussie dollar in 2016, however, interest rate differentials and resurgent commodity prices pushed the local currency to a peak of 78 cents early in 2016. Of the 600+ Livewire members that responded to our 2017 Outlook Survey only 5% see the currency ending the... Show More

CBA Global Markets - What happens to the USD if Donald Trump wins?


CBA Chief Currency Strategist & Head of International Economics, Richard Grace speaks with CommSec’s Tom Piotrowski about what could happen to the USD if Donald Trump won the US Presidential election. He expects a 10% lift in the USD will be driven by the capital inflows chasing higher asset price... Show More

What to expect from Phillip Lowe’s first meeting as RBA Governor

Bianca Hartge-Hazelman

There’s only a small number of women in top economic roles in Australia’s financial markets but that’s still a lot more than there was a decade ago and today, their views carry more than some serious weight. Financy interviewed four of these women on rates, growth and property ahead of... Show More

Tourism Data shows strength again

James Nicolaou

Australian inbound tourism data for July 2016 has just been released, and shows some positive trends, including: Total inbound for July 2016 at 716k (+14.1% pcp); 12 Months to July 2016 at 7.94m (+10.6% pcp v 10.0% at end June 2016); Leisure 12 months to July 2016 at 6.0m (+14.8%... Show More

What's next for the AUD, following the rate cut of the RBA this week?

Saxo Capital Markets Australia

Following the reduction of the cash rate in Australia to 1.5% this week, Saxo's Global macro strategist Kay Van-Petersen is now expecting the Aussie dollar to strengthen against the USD. Not because of the Aussie dollar's own strength; this is more of a relative game. Watch the following video to... Show More

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Emerging market assets seeing better support

Nikko Asset Management Australia

Emerging markets (EM) have been a primary beneficiary of the return of risk appetite. This might seem counter-intuitive given the negative impact on global growth, but the broader shift in central bank policy towards less tightening and more easing probably does offer more support to EM assets, offsetting the marginally... Show More

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EOFY Series: Currency outlook


CBA Senior Currency Strategist Joseph Capurso speaks with CommSec Market Analyst Steven Daghlian about his outlook for the Aussie dollar and factors which will affect the price of our currency over the next financial year For CommSec’s Financial Year Wrap coverage, visit Show More

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How to trade the Aussie dollar this week: Saxo

Saxo Capital Markets Australia

The AUDUSD looked weak in the last couple of sessions, following the Brexit UK referendum, but it found the support again above the 0.73 cents handle. According to Saxo Capital Markets traders based in Sydney, the resistance levels remain at 0.7380, 0.74 and 0.7460 while the support levels are the... Show More