A year ago we wrote an article about ‘5 CEOs Who Tick All the Boxes’ based on the ASX listed CEOs who we thought showed similarities to Tom Murphy. For those unfamiliar, Tom Murphy was the once in a lifetime CEO of US media conglomerate Capital Cities who started out... Show More
In a video filmed with Livewire this time last year, we believed stock prices had been moved more by macro events than by individual outlooks, resulting in fertile ground for stock pickers. One such stock was Macquarie Group (ASX: MQG). Since then, the stock has risen by 35%, and Livewire... Show More
Last year we called out the compelling value in Sirtex, which had been through a very rough patch. Livewire asked us to review our thesis on the stock, which has more than doubled since, and to scour today’s market for an out-of-favour stock with attractive risk-reward characteristics. Show More
In each of the previous 5 years, there have been several obvious candidates from which to ‘award’ the yield trap of the year. 2018 was harder. One could easily pick on AMP. But a combination of a lofty starting share price and lack of asset sales, due to management overhaul... Show More
Someone famously once said, “The best qualification of a prophet is to have a good memory.” When trying to identify potential opportunities within the resource sector, it’s always handy to have some grasp of history. In the case of our vanadium call about 12 months ago, we utilised our awareness... Show More
Monash Investors first discussed Emeco back in early September 2017, “A cyclical stock on its way back up” when its share price was 18c. Now at 35.5c it’s almost doubled, having touched 41c along the way, and it has been one of the best contributors to our last 12 months'... Show More
In our piece titled ‘Is this the Next Credit Corp?’ in May 2017, we made the case for why we considered PNC to be the standout amongst emerging companies on our radar. At the time the share price was trading at $2.13, but it has since increased by around... Show More
In September of last year, I nominated a stock on Livewire where I felt the short sellers had it wrong. The stock I chose was Flight Centre Travel Group (ASX: FLT), as I felt industry dynamics were improving, the company was undergoing a cost out program, and FLT also had... Show More
This time last year, at Livewire Live we flagged a likely resurgence of volatility and highlighted some of the factors that we believed would drive this. In this exclusive report for Livewire, I review the thesis and explain why we expect much more extreme reactions going forward. Show More
This time last year, we outlined our positive view on Corporate Travel Management (CTD) at Livewire Live. At the time, it had a large and growing short interest position, but we believed the market was not valuing the long-term opportunity appropriately. Show More
BHP has delivered for shareholders in the 12 months since we laid out our bullish thesis on Livewire which you can see here. Collectively Andrew Mackenzie as CEO and the recently installed Chairman Ken MacKenzie have done a good job in managing the business and the balance sheet. Show More
Last July we highlighted 5 stocks that we believed could double cash flow over 5 years. Twelve months on we review how they have performed, and discuss the reasons for the one that disappointed. Show More
Around 12 months ago, I shared my 10 predictions for FY18. These included a peak for the housing market, struggling retail stocks, and global macroeconomic strength. It was great to see that a lot of these predictions proved true. With FY18 now over, Livewire have asked for my predictions for... Show More
Last year I wrote about the key risks facing Australia’s major banks, focusing on APRA’s definition of “unquestionably” strong, and explained why we had lightened weightings in the banks. Here I update on our view for Livewire. In the original wire, which you can see here, I wrote: Show More
Around 12 months ago, we highlighted Lovisa as a key position in our portfolios. At that time it was trading on 13x earnings and the share price was around $3.50. You can read our thesis at the time in this wire from back then. Twelve months later consensus earnings forecasts... Show More
It’s not possible – or at a minimum exceptionally rare – to be able to buy a good company at a good price in a good market. Investors have to be prepared to sacrifice one of these ingredients. Our strong preference is to forgo the latter. In Australian Finance Group... Show More
Some wonderful examples of entrepreneurial drive and global innovation can be found in the burgeoning New Zealand startup community and emerging listed companies. Here we share our thoughts on the scene following a recent trip, and update on Xero as well as an earlier-stage NZ tech success story. Show More
The conclusion of our December 2016 Livewire article read... “Such would suggest that the 2015 peak valuations in the Australian banking sector could indeed have marked the top of a multi-decade cycle for Australian banks. The latent risks confronting Australia’s banks appear significant, suggesting a high likelihood that in the... Show More
We’ve been making our case on Livewire for investing in oil-related stocks since 2015. It’s been an arduous journey that dates back to 2013, but with the recent oil price strength, Livewire got in touch to get our updated thoughts on the sector. Show More
Online automotive advertising portals, Autohome – featured in a Livewire piece in February 2017 – are a part of a broader investment thematic at PM Capital which has focused on online classified advertising businesses across the Asia region. With Autohome more than doubling since then we wrote about it, Livewire... Show More