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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

GS Forecasts 2 Quarters of Negative Global Growth and Offers Insights on COVID-19's Fatality Rate

Goldman Sachs economists Jan Hatzius and Daan Struyven have updated their global economic growth forecasts, and are now projecting two consecutive negative quarters of...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Coronavirus: Markets Awaken in Fright | Nucleus Investment Insights

Stock Markets have been the last to catch onto the economic impacts of Coronavirus, and are now beginning to feel the full effects. Join us for an update as we discuss...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Coronavirus kills markets too

Today I explain why the Coronavirus is killing markets, and will almost certainly demand central bank and treasury interventions that will in the next few months...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Post-GFC lows for Aussie dollar as equities finally tumble

In recent weeks we have highlighted the limited response of equities to the coronavirus outbreak, contrasting with commodity, bond and FX markets, which all showed...
Sean Callow
Sean Callow
Westpac Bank
Macro

Liquidity might not work this time, be careful in low quality credit - Part 1

The last three major market drawdowns resulted from human behaviours. China’s currency devaluation in August 2015, the volatility blow up in Feb 2018 and the...
Charlie Jamieson
Jamieson Coote Bonds
Rapid Fire

Monetary madness and the world of 'Alice in Wonderland' economics

Everything going on is nuts. Greek bonds are yielding less that Australian bonds, QE is on the cards from the RBA and the S&P500 is trading on a lofty 18 times forward...
James Marlay
Livewire Markets
Macro

Trading Coronavirus

Enclosed are some thoughts on decision-making inputs that might influence portfolio construction as we move through the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic towards a...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Expert Insights

Longview: The green light to load up

Chris Watling, Chief Investment Officer at Longview Economics, believes that markets are entering the second year of a ‘mini-cycle upswing’ which typically lasts...
Livewire Exclusive
Livewire Markets
Macro

How to invest during a global pandemic

Global markets received a wakeup call over the weekend as a string of countries closed borders with Italy and Iran due to outbreaks of Covid-19 (coronavirus). South...
Patrick Poke
A Rich Life
Macro

Bassanese Bites: Weekly Market Review

Week in ReviewLast week global markets got their first taste of the negative economic impact of the coronavirus – and it was not easily digested. Although China...
David Bassanese
Betashares
Macro

Is capitalism in the west dead?

It’s not as fanciful a question as it first seems. Globalisation, for decades the engine of economic growth, has gone into reverse. Automation, AI and Big Tech have...
abrdn .
abrdn
Macro

Three reasons why low inflation is good for shares and property

Share markets are at or around record levels despite lots of worries, particularly around the coronavirus (Covid-19) outbreak. A common concern is that this is because...
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

A data driven view from the market coalface

One of the best pieces of financial advice I’ve ever received is to write down why you are making an investment. While it may be blindingly obvious why you are excited...
Tom Stevenson
Fidelity International
Macro

3 big risks investors forgot to price in

For the best part of a decade, markets have ‘climbed a wall of worry’, eking out returns despite an ever-growing list of worries. But more recently, investors learned...
Patrick Poke
A Rich Life
Macro

Rising debt a headache for RBA

Australians have been making compulsory superannuation contributions since 1992. Today, there is around $2.75 trillion dollars in retirement savings in superannuation...
Anthony Doyle
Anthony Doyle
Firetrail Investments
Macro

Are markets about to roar?

Some people have labelled this decade the new “roaring twenties”. But 2020 seems to have come in with more of a squeak than a bellow. Some stock markets are down,...
Martin Gilbert
Martin Gilbert
abrdn
Macro

A repeat of the GFC

Following on from our latest article ‘5 themes worth backing this year’, we identified a number of themes & opportunities we are monitoring for 2020 and beyond. The...
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Bassanese Bites: Weekly Review of Global Markets

Top events of the past week Global stocks continued to shrug off coronavirus fears last week with the S&P 500 up a lazy 1.6% to reach a new record high. ...
David Bassanese
Betashares
Macro

Investors are Chasing “Bargains” in Turnarounds and Cyclicals

As this point of the cycle the low and medium hanging fruit has been picked. Investors that would typically stick to blue chips, whether that be defensive companies...
BHP
QAN
RIO
Jonathan Rochford
Narrow Road Capital
Macro

Coronavirus: What can we learn from history?

Up until last month, our global outlook was one of moderate growth in 2020. Thanks to dovish monetary policy globally, this long economic cycle looked set to continue...
Anthony Doyle
Anthony Doyle
Firetrail Investments
Macro

House prices to rise at 20 per cent this cycle

Today I write that housing boom is tracking more or less exactly as we expected, and based on the RBA’s model of housing dynamics one should pencil in total capital...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Central banks optimistic despite coronavirus

On Wednesday the MSCI World Index of developed economy equities hit a record high. For those fixated on equity markets, it is understandable that upbeat narratives are...
Sean Callow
Sean Callow
Westpac Bank
Macro

RBA’s Weak Dovish Bias Because Rate Cuts Working More Than Expected

Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia signalled a very weak dovish bias that was as good as hold for longer, to the surprise of many. But what is more surprising is...
Sophia Rodrigues
Sophia Rodrigues
Central Bank Intel
Macro

One way to immunise your portfolio to Coronavirus

Coronavirus has thrown an ‘unknown unknown’ into the mix of the global economy, being both a demand and supply shock of significant magnitude. Importantly for...
Charlie Jamieson
Jamieson Coote Bonds
Macro

Navigating 5 key issues for the US economy

Investors considering their US allocation in 2020 may feel nervous about the macroeconomic and political crosswinds blowing across the investment landscape.Here we...
Matt Reynolds
Matt Reynolds
Capital Group
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