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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

Private sector capex: Not riding to the rescue

There is an investing narrative that suggests with three interest rate cuts in the past few months, companies are about to unleash a capex spending spree. I’m...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

5 things keeping SMSF investors up at night

Recently, Wilson Asset Management asked 50,000 shareholders and subscribers, “what keeps you up at night?” With their readership and shareholder base consisting...
WAA
WAM
WAX
+2
Patrick Poke
A Rich Life
Macro

Better yields than bonds (with less risk than equities)

Investors are facing a common challenge: falling cash rates make it hard to earn a real return above inflation. Record-low yields on asset classes like cash (term...
Richard Quin
Bentham
Macro

Five reasons why the $A may be close to the bottom

For a long time, we have been bearish on the Australian dollar, seeing a fall into the high $US0.60s and revising this to around $US0.65 in May. In early October it...
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

Targeting 80c for the Aussie dollar

When thinking about the obvious macro factor that investors should be across in 2020, global bond yields spring to mind, however at Market Matters we’re not about...
BHP
RIO
James Gerrish
Market Matters
Macro

Mixed Signals: BetaShares Global Markets Weekly Review

Global MarketsMixed signals with respect to progress in US-China trade talks saw global equities and bond yields ease back last week. Otherwise there was...
David Bassanese
Betashares
Macro

Global Reflation: Hot Trade or Hot Air? - Nucleus Investment Insights Podcast

While equity markets are pricing Nirvana for global growth ahead, geopolitics and global growth show only very tentative signs that they will follow. Is it the great...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

The six biggest bull runs since 1962 (and their corrections)

The current bull market in US stocks started in March 2009 at the height of the global financial crisis and is the longest in recent history, beating the rally between...
Schroders Australia
Schroders
Macro

Green shoots turning brown

The recent optimism pervading the global macroeconomic backdrop over the last month suffered some harsh reality last week as the landscape continued to provide...
Chris Manuell, CMT
Chris Manuell, CMT
Jamieson Coote Bonds
Macro

QE is coming: BetaShares Weekly Markets Review

Global MarketsGlobal markets are currently enjoying a “no news is good news period” – ever hopeful that a US-China trade deal will get done, and no news to the...
David Bassanese
Betashares
Macro

Aussie rattled by jobs slump

The Aussie dollar was already having a difficult week before sliding below 68 cents as Australia reported a fall in employment in October. The Aussie is the softest...
Sean Callow
Sean Callow
Westpac Bank
Macro

Lessons from last century for today's policymakers

At a ‘Fed Listens’ event held where the US central bank’s policy-setting board meets, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in October described how the room with...
Magellan Investment Partners
Magellan
Macro

Untangling Australia’s Energy Market with Expert Energy Analyst David Leitch

Topics this week include the death of Coal, the potential of renewables to take over Australian energy, which energy-based stocks have potential, the viability of...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

The frailty of the world's greatest investor

An amazing new book on the world's greatest investor, the 81 year old chain-smoking billionaire mathematician Jim Simons, lifts the lid on the decades of adversity he...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Latest Complexity Premia podcast: conviction vs humility

Guys the latest episode of our very popular Complexity Premia podcast is live! You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Apple Podcasts here...
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Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The problem with traditional ethical funds

Ethical investment inflows have doubled in 2019. But, the Wall Street Journal highlights a problem near to my heart: ethical investing is not the same to everyone....
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Is the yield curve a faulty indicator?

This time last year at the Credit Suisse Global Perspectives forum, I argued that we were not likely to have a new recession any time soon, despite widespread fears. ...
James Sweeney
James Sweeney
Credit Suisse
Macro

Aussie QE may be coming, but it will probably do nothing

Over the past 18 months, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has changed tack from “the next move in interest rates is up” to a dovish bias. So much so, that...
Chris Bedingfield
Quay Global Investors
Macro

New found optimism for global markets as Brexit & trade deal make some progress

October presented several significant risk events which have passed without major incident, fostering some newfound optimism for global markets. The avoidance of a...
Angus Coote
Jamieson Coote Bonds
Macro

Aussie dollar heading to US62c

Global equities continued rallied last week, buoyed by ongoing hopes that the US and China will eventually conclude a trade deal – despite some uncertainty over...
David Bassanese
Betashares
Macro

Aussie dollar recovery stalls

This week the RBA held its cash rate steady at 0.75% and made clear that it expects to hold again in December. It was able to send such a message without much fear of...
Sean Callow
Sean Callow
Westpac Bank
Macro

The next year could be very good

Today I write that while there are reasons to be optimistic about the next 12 months, being psychologically fractured in your thinking is no less important. More...
+1
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

5 reasons I'm not fussed about the global outlook

There is always someone telling us that there is some sort of economic/financial disaster coming our way. However, there does seem to be a higher level of hand...
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

Can easing geo-political tensions save the macro cycle?

17th century British poet, George Herbert, penned “Do not wait; the time will never be ‘just right’.” This is, of course, a challenging retort for...
Scott Haslem
LGT Crestone
Macro

Housing: Dead cat bouncing?

Back in 2017, we outlined the case for an Australian recession based on a retrenchment of household spending brought about by a negative wealth effect. At the time the...
Chris Watling
Longview Economics
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